ING Groep Stock Forward View

INGA Stock  EUR 25.35  0.27  1.08%   
ING Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of ING Groep's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ING Groep's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ING Groep and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ING Groep's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ING Groep NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ING Groep's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
15.95
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4709
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.3114
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6913
Wall Street Target Price
26.3626
Using ING Groep hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ING Groep NV from the perspective of ING Groep response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ING Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 25.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.65.

ING Groep after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 25.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Groep to cross-verify your projections.

ING Groep Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ING price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ING using various technical indicators. When you analyze ING charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ING Groep is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ING Groep NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ING Groep Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ING Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 25.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ING Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ING Groep's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ING Groep Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ING Groep  ING Groep Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

ING Groep Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ING Groep's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ING Groep's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.38 and 26.98, respectively. We have considered ING Groep's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.35
25.68
Expected Value
26.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ING Groep stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ING Groep stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2685
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors16.647
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ING Groep NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ING Groep. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ING Groep

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Groep NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1125.4126.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8228.9530.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.9423.9525.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.520.520.53
Details

ING Groep After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ING Groep at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ING Groep or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ING Groep, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ING Groep Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ING Groep's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ING Groep's historical news coverage. ING Groep's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.11 and 26.71, respectively. We have considered ING Groep's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.35
25.41
After-hype Price
26.71
Upside
ING Groep is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ING Groep NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

ING Groep Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ING Groep is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ING Groep backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ING Groep, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.30
  0.06 
  0.05 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.35
25.41
0.24 
406.25  
Notes

ING Groep Hype Timeline

ING Groep NV is currently traded for 25.35on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. ING is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on ING Groep is about 510.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.30. The company reported the revenue of 23.04 B. Net Income was 6.33 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.73 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Groep to cross-verify your projections.

ING Groep Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ING Groep's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ING Groep's future price movements. Getting to know how ING Groep's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ING Groep may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ABNABN Amro Group 0.09 7 per month 1.44  0.11  2.31 (2.62) 11.23 
NNNN Group NV(0.16)4 per month 0.87  0.12  1.79 (1.52) 4.63 
AGNAegon NV(0.17)5 per month 2.20 (0.03) 2.32 (2.27) 12.32 
ASRNLASR Nederland NV 0.62 4 per month 0.98  0.03  1.63 (1.53) 5.57 
VLKVan Lanschot NV(0.10)3 per month 1.01 (0.06) 2.00 (1.91) 6.22 
CVCCVC Capital Partners 0.08 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.24 (2.63) 11.96 
REINAReinet Investments SCA(2.80)1 per month 3.55  0.03  8.09 (6.92) 21.31 
PREVAValue8 NV(0.11)5 per month 1.27 (0.04) 1.91 (2.28) 6.12 
FLOWFlow Traders BV 0.26 7 per month 0.86  0.06  2.16 (1.54) 5.06 

Other Forecasting Options for ING Groep

For every potential investor in ING, whether a beginner or expert, ING Groep's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ING Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ING. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ING Groep's price trends.

ING Groep Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ING Groep stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ING Groep could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ING Groep by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ING Groep Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ING Groep stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ING Groep shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ING Groep stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ING Groep NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ING Groep Risk Indicators

The analysis of ING Groep's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ING Groep's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ING Groep

The number of cover stories for ING Groep depends on current market conditions and ING Groep's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ING Groep is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ING Groep's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

ING Groep Short Properties

ING Groep's future price predictability will typically decrease when ING Groep's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ING Groep NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ING Groep's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ING Groep's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments106.3 B

Additional Tools for ING Stock Analysis

When running ING Groep's price analysis, check to measure ING Groep's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ING Groep is operating at the current time. Most of ING Groep's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ING Groep's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ING Groep's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ING Groep to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.