ING Groep Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| INGA Stock | EUR 22.89 -0.53 -2.26% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
The hype-based summary links ING Groep NV attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ING Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 22.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.79.ING Groep after-hype prediction price | € 22.89 |
Attention metrics here are presented with forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
ING |
ING Groep Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ING price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ING using various technical indicators. When you analyze ING charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ING Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 22.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.16 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.79 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ING Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ING Groep's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ING Groep | ING Groep Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for ING Groep NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ING Groep stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ING Groep stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4527 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0045 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3132 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.79 |
Mean reversion in ING Groep is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for ING Groep miss the full picture. ING Groep's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for ING Groep is built on the observation that ING Groep's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. ING Groep's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.25 and 24.53, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for ING Groep is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to ING Groep NV assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ING Groep is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ING Groep backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ING Groep, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.89 | 22.89 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
ING Groep NV is currently traded for 22.89on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ING is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ING Groep is about 7.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.89. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ING Groep NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of April 2026. The firm completed a 853:655 stock split on 30th of November 2009. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Groep provides a cross-check on projections for ING Groep. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for ING Groep provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently ING Groep's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABN | ABN Amro Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.10 | -3.26 | 6.93 | |
| NN | NN Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.11 | 1.79 | -2.43 | 5.78 | |
| AGN | Aegon NV | -0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.40 | -3.47 | 10.03 | |
| ASRNL | ASR Nederland NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.82 | -1.75 | 6.50 | |
| VLK | Van Lanschot NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.13 | 3.20 | -1.98 | 9.88 | |
| CVC | CVC Capital Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 4.03 | -4.03 | 14.28 | |
| REINA | Reinet Investments SCA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.06 | 0.03 | 9.15 | -6.92 | 25.78 | |
| PREVA | Value8 NV | 190.24 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.90 | -2.46 | 7.93 | |
| FLOW | Flow Traders BV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.18 | 3.05 | -2.44 | 7.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for ING Groep
For investors considering ING, ING Groep's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in ING Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.ING Groep Related Equities
The following equities are related to ING Groep within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ING Groep against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ING Groep Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for ING Groep provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in ING Groep NV.
ING Groep Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of ING Groep's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in ING Groep's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ING Groep
Coverage intensity for ING Groep NV matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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ING Groep Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to ING Groep NV matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.3 B |
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