Implenia Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| IMPN Stock | CHF 71.90 -0.20 -0.28% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.559 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6828 | Wall Street Target Price 85.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.11 |
The hype perspective for Implenia AG maps headline activity to recent price response and peer coverage.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Implenia AG on the next trading day is expected to be 74.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.90.Implenia after-hype prediction price | ₣ 71.9 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, analyst, earnings, and momentum context.
Implenia |
Implenia Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Implenia's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Non-stationary data - where mean and variance shift over time - is the norm for Implenia, making adaptive models preferable.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Implenia AG on the next trading day is expected to be 74.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 , mean absolute percentage error of 7.76 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.90 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Implenia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Implenia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Implenia | Implenia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Implenia AG for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Implenia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Implenia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.9967 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2565 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0302 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.9011 |
The mean reversion tendency in Implenia's price is a well-documented phenomenon that disciplined investors can exploit by identifying when price has diverged substantially from fundamental and historical anchors.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution chart for Implenia displays the range and likelihood of predicted price outcomes based on Implenia's historical volatility and news impact patterns. Use the full distribution - not just the central estimate - to understand the true risk and reward.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price analysis for Implenia uses Implenia's historical news coverage to estimate statistically significant upside and downside price boundaries for the session following a major headline.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Implenia AG uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Implenia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Implenia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Implenia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.73 | 0.98 | 0.17 | 11 Events | 2 Events | In 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.90 | 71.90 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Implenia AG is currently traded for 71.90on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.98, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Implenia is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 19.5%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Implenia is about 112.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.07. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Implenia AG has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. The company had its last dividend issued on the 2nd of April 2026. The firm completed a 1813:1790 stock split on 15th of June 1999. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 11 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Implenia to cross-verify projections for Implenia. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Analyzing Implenia's direct competitors. news reactions provides a leading indicator for how Implenia may respond to comparable market events. The peer hype analysis table captures key risk and sentiment metrics across Implenia's competitive set, helping investors anticipate.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FORN | Forbo Holding AG | -13.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.48 | -2.41 | 11.05 | |
| BRKN | Burkhalter Holding AG | -0.40 | 2 per month | 0.76 | 0.19 | 2.39 | -1.69 | 5.18 | |
| BOSN | Bossard Holding AG | 1.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.51 | -3.13 | 10.96 | |
| JFN | Jungfraubahn Holding AG | 2.00 | 2 per month | 1.07 | 0.18 | 2.28 | -2.23 | 5.82 | |
| OERL | OC Oerlikon Corp | -0.02 | 3 per month | 1.72 | 0.13 | 3.04 | -3.12 | 21.35 | |
| ZEHN | Zehnder | 4.00 | 3 per month | 2.44 | 0.03 | 2.57 | -4.40 | 12.83 | |
| LAND | LandisGyr Group AG | -0.50 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.0042 | 2.78 | -2.50 | 15.31 | |
| BVZN | BVZ Holding AG | 30.00 | 2 per month | 1.77 | 0.17 | 5.00 | -3.85 | 14.90 | |
| PMN | PHOENIX N AG | 1.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.53 | -3.42 | 8.64 | |
| MIKN | Mikron Holding AG | 0.20 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 3.80 | -3.29 | 19.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Implenia
For any investor considering Implenia, Implenia's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Implenia Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.Implenia Related Equities
The following equities are related to Implenia within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Implenia against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Implenia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Implenia stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Implenia AG.
| Accumulation Distribution | 514.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.17 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 72.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 72.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.30 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.20 |
Implenia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Implenia's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Implenia's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Variance | 6.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Implenia
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Implenia AG can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Implenia Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Implenia AG is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 658 M |
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