Hasbro Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HAS Stock | USD 89.41 0.73 0.82% |
Hasbro Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hasbro's stock price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hasbro, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.031 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8959 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.9749 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.291 | Wall Street Target Price 93.5385 |
Using Hasbro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hasbro Inc from the perspective of Hasbro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hasbro using Hasbro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hasbro using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hasbro's stock price.
Hasbro Short Interest
An investor who is long Hasbro may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hasbro and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hasbro with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 74.5311 | Short Percent 0.0352 | Short Ratio 2.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 82.5394 |
Hasbro Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 89.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.55.Hasbro Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hasbro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hasbro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hasbro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hasbro Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hasbro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hasbro.
Hasbro Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Hasbro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hasbro Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hasbro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hasbro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hasbro's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 89.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.55. Hasbro after-hype prediction price | USD 88.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hasbro to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hasbro contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hasbro Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Hasbro trading at USD 89.41, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hasbro's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hasbro Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hasbro Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hasbro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hasbro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hasbro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hasbro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hasbro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hasbro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hasbro. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hasbro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hasbro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hasbro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hasbro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hasbro Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 89.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hasbro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hasbro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hasbro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hasbro | Hasbro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hasbro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hasbro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hasbro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.03 and 90.79, respectively. We have considered Hasbro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hasbro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hasbro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5668 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2028 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8758 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.55 |
Predictive Modules for Hasbro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hasbro Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hasbro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hasbro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hasbro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hasbro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hasbro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hasbro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hasbro's historical news coverage. Hasbro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.17 and 89.91, respectively. We have considered Hasbro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hasbro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hasbro Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hasbro Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hasbro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hasbro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hasbro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.38 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
89.41 | 88.54 | 0.16 |
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Hasbro Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Hasbro Inc is traded for 89.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Hasbro is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 88.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Hasbro is about 331.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.51. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. Hasbro Inc recorded a loss per share of 3.99. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 16th of March 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hasbro to cross-verify your projections.Hasbro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hasbro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hasbro's future price movements. Getting to know how Hasbro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hasbro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Class | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.53 | (5.23) | 15.74 | |
| QS | QuantumScape Class | 0.05 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.02 | (7.98) | 28.88 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | (0.85) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.62 | (2.38) | 6.07 | |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | 3.69 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 2.78 | (2.47) | 8.07 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 2.96 | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.05 | 2.73 | (2.36) | 9.29 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.05 | (3.00) | 9.35 | |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line | (0.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.34 | (4.78) | 18.17 | |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness | 0.86 | 11 per month | 1.97 | (0.03) | 3.01 | (3.30) | 18.44 | |
| CART | Maplebear | (1.68) | 9 per month | 2.24 | (0.01) | 3.91 | (3.67) | 11.01 | |
| SCI | Service International | (1.01) | 10 per month | 0.99 | (0.06) | 1.77 | (1.61) | 7.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hasbro
For every potential investor in Hasbro, whether a beginner or expert, Hasbro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hasbro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hasbro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hasbro's price trends.Hasbro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hasbro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hasbro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hasbro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hasbro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hasbro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hasbro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hasbro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hasbro Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hasbro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hasbro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hasbro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hasbro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8506 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7236 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hasbro
The number of cover stories for Hasbro depends on current market conditions and Hasbro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hasbro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hasbro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hasbro Short Properties
Hasbro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hasbro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hasbro Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hasbro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hasbro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 694.7 M |
Additional Tools for Hasbro Stock Analysis
When running Hasbro's price analysis, check to measure Hasbro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hasbro is operating at the current time. Most of Hasbro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hasbro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hasbro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hasbro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.