Hasbro Stock Forward View

HAS Stock  USD 93.40  -1.71  -1.80%   
As of today, the price momentum oscillator for Hasbro is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hasbro's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hasbro Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Key fundamental drivers for Hasbro's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.031
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0598
 EPS Estimate Current Year
5.6789
 EPS Estimate Next Year
6.2583
 Wall Street Target Price
113.6429
This view frames how Hasbro Inc responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Hasbro's options positioning and short interest activity.

Hasbro Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hasbro's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hasbro. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hasbro stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
 200 Day MA
80.6558
 Short Percent
0.0373
 Short Ratio
1.79
 Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 M
 50 Day MA
93.3436

Hasbro Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.36.

Hasbro Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hasbro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hasbro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hasbro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hasbro's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Hasbro.
Hasbro Implied Volatility
    
  0.45  
Hasbro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hasbro Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hasbro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.36.
Hasbro after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 93.4  
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hasbro to cross-verify projections for Hasbro. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Rule 16 for the current Hasbro contract - Volatility Context

Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0281% for the 2026-06-18 options. With Hasbro trading near $ 93.4, that translates to about $ 0.0263 per day in either direction.

Open Interest for Hasbro 2026-06-18 Options

Open interest counts active option contracts on Hasbro, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.

Hasbro Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hasbro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hasbro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hasbro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Hasbro Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Hasbro's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
 First Reported
1985-12-31
 Previous Quarter
620.9 M
 Current Value
776.6 M
 Quarterly Volatility
520.7 M
Macro event markers
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Hasbro is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hasbro Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hasbro Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.59 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.36 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hasbro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hasbro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hasbro  Hasbro Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Hasbro Inc uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
93.40
92.43
Expected Value
94.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hasbro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hasbro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2279
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3929
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0153
SAESum of the absolute errors86.361
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hasbro Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hasbro. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hasbro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.5893.4095.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.06109.70111.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
92.4298.64104.86
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
103.42113.64126.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hasbro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hasbro's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hasbro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hasbro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hasbro's historical news coverage.
Current Value
93.40
93.40
After-hype Price
95.22
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Hasbro Inc assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hasbro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hasbro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hasbro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
1.83
  0.26 
  0.31 
8 Events
7 Events
In 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
93.40
93.40
0.00 
183.00  
Notes

Hype Timeline

On the 14th of March 2026 Hasbro Inc is traded for 93.40. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Hasbro is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 183.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hasbro is about 155.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.09. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.46. Hasbro Inc recorded a loss per share of 2.3. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2026. The firm completed a 3:2 stock split on 16th of March 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hasbro to cross-verify projections for Hasbro. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hasbro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hasbro's future price movements. Getting to know how Hasbro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MBLYMobileye Global Class 0.17 8 per month 0.00 -0.17 3.69 -5.94 15.74
QSQuantumScape Class-13.33 28 per month 0.00 -0.20 7.03 -8.22 21.05
PAGPenske Automotive Group-2.77 10 per month 0.00 -0.07 2.77 -2.71 8.71
TXRHTexas Roadhouse-0.24 10 per month 1.51 0.06 2.69 -2.32 7.20
CCKCrown Holdings-0.30 8 per month 1.38 0.12 3.31 -2.56 6.71
GMEGameStop Corp 0.64 9 per month 2.12 0.03 4.44 -3.51 13.39
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line 0.05 8 per month 3.43 0.02 7.47 -4.84 22.67
PLNTPlanet Fitness-0.62 9 per month 0.00 -0.27 2.07 -3.96 11.27
CARTMaplebear 0.43 11 per month 0.00 -0.06 3.88 -4.88 12.10
SCIService International 4.18 6 per month 1.53 0.07 2.00 -1.61 10.12

Other Forecasting Options for Hasbro

For every potential investor in Hasbro, whether a beginner or expert, Hasbro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.

Hasbro Related Equities

The following equities are related to Hasbro within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Hasbro against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hasbro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hasbro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hasbro shares will generate the highest return on.

Hasbro Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hasbro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hasbro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hasbro

Coverage intensity for Hasbro Inc matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Hasbro Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Hasbro Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding140.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments882 M

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