FS KKR Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FSK Stock  USD 14.47  0.10  0.69%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52. FSK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of FS KKR's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FS KKR's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FS KKR Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FS KKR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FS KKR Capital from the perspective of FS KKR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.

FS KKR after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FS KKR to cross-verify your projections.

FS KKR Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FSK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FSK using various technical indicators. When you analyze FSK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
FS KKR simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for FS KKR Capital are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as FS KKR Capital prices get older.

FS KKR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FSK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FS KKR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FS KKR Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FS KKRFS KKR Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FS KKR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FS KKR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FS KKR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.25 and 15.69, respectively. We have considered FS KKR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.47
14.47
Expected Value
15.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FS KKR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FS KKR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8681
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.142
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0096
SAESum of the absolute errors8.52
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting FS KKR Capital forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent FS KKR observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for FS KKR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS KKR Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FS KKR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3514.5615.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1116.0417.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FS KKR

For every potential investor in FSK, whether a beginner or expert, FS KKR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FSK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FSK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FS KKR's price trends.

FS KKR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FS KKR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FS KKR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FS KKR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FS KKR Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FS KKR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FS KKR's current price.

FS KKR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FS KKR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FS KKR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FS KKR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FS KKR Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FS KKR Risk Indicators

The analysis of FS KKR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FS KKR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fsk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet
When determining whether FS KKR Capital is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if FSK Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Fs Kkr Capital Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Fs Kkr Capital Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FS KKR to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FS KKR. If investors know FSK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FS KKR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of FS KKR Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FSK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FS KKR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FS KKR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FS KKR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FS KKR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FS KKR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FS KKR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FS KKR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.