First Merchants Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

First Merchants Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Merchants price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Merchants Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Merchants on the next trading day is expected to be 25.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.59.

First Merchants Stock Forecast Pattern

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First Merchants Price Prediction

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First Merchants Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Merchants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Merchants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Merchants historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Merchants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Merchants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 24.88 25.70 26.52 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 20.93 21.75 28.27 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 25.28 25.90 26.53 Details

First Merchants After-Hype Price Density Analysis

First Merchants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Merchants Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

First Merchants Hype Timeline

First Merchants is currently traded for 25.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Merchants is about 1528.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.70. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Merchants to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Merchants guide.

First Merchants Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for First Merchants

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Merchants' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Merchants' price trends.

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