Edison International Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EIX Stock | USD 71.73 0.77 1.09% |
Momentum
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.463 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8037 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1165 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.523 | Wall Street Target Price 73.3462 |
Hype-based context for Edison International compares attention patterns with recent price movement. This view uses options positioning and short interest to outline sentiment around Edison International.
Edison International Short Interest Pattern
When Edison International's short interest rises materially month-over-month, it suggests that more market participants are betting against Edison International. Monitoring the trend is essential for long holders.
200 Day MA 57.8474 | Short Percent 0.0401 | Short Ratio 3.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 11 M | 50 Day MA 66.2662 |
RSI Indicator for Edison
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edison International on the next trading day is expected to be 71.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.64.Edison International Hype-Price Mapping
Behavioral finance research confirms that investor sentiment drives Edison International's price in the short term. By quantifying that sentiment from news and social signals, investors can better time entries and exits in Edison.
Edison International's investor sentiment is not always right, but it is always relevant. Understanding the current mood of the market toward Edison International helps investors assess whether current prices reflect greed, fear, or rational expectation.
Edison International Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
For option buyers, high Edison International's implied volatility means paying more for the right to profit from price movements in Edison International. For sellers, elevated implied volatility creates opportunities to collect richer premiums.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edison International on the next trading day is expected to be 71.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.64.Edison International after-hype prediction price | $ 71.73 |
Hype indicators are listed alongside forecasting models, technical studies, analyst consensus, and earnings expectations.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edison International provides a cross-check on projections for Edison International. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Summary for current Edison contract
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 3.81% for 2026-04-17 options. At a recent price around $ 71.73, the implied daily move is approximately $ 2.73 , which is informational only.
Open Interest Summary - Edison 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest tracks live contract counts on Edison International options and provides positioning context for volatility review.
Edison International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Edison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edison International on the next trading day is expected to be 71.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.12 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.64 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edison Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edison International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Edison International | Edison International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Edison International focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 70.16 and upside around 73.30 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edison International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edison International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3896 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2377 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.794 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.64 |
The mean reversion principle applied to Edison International's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distributions applied to Edison International price forecasting provide a more honest representation of uncertainty than single point estimates. The shape of Edison International's distribution - whether it is symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for Edison International quantifies the historical relationship between headline events and Edison International's short-term price response. Edison International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.16 and 73.30, respectively. The strength of this signal depends on the consistency of Edison International's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Edison International assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edison International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edison International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edison International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.57 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 10 Events | 4 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.73 | 71.73 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2026 Edison International is traded for 71.73. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Edison is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Edison International is about 632.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.82. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Edison International recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 11.55. The company had its last dividend issued on the 7th of April 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 22nd of June 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edison International provides a cross-check on projections for Edison International. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of Edison International experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Edison International's shares in sympathy or in contrast, depending on whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.83 | 11 per month | 0.67 | 0.22 | 1.37 | -1.26 | 3.92 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | -0.02 | 5 per month | 4.49 | 0.11 | 2.80 | -3.23 | 32.39 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.54 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.004 | 6.12 | -4.13 | 26.98 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | -0.39 | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.24 | 2.07 | -1.13 | 4.16 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | -0.30 | 11 per month | 0.40 | 0.30 | 1.40 | -1.15 | 4.38 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.83 | 3 per month | 0.64 | 0.25 | 1.70 | -1.33 | 4.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Edison International
Regardless of investment experience, understanding Edison International's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in Edison. Price charts for Edison Stock are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.Edison International Related Equities
The following equities are related to Edison International within the Utilities space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Edison International against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Edison International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Edison International give investors insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading Edison International is likely to be most rewarding.
Edison International Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Edison International's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Edison International's.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.30 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Edison International
A coverage review of Edison International helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Edison International Short Properties
A short-interest review of Edison International helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 385 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 158 M |
More Resources for Edison Stock Analysis
A structured review of Edison International often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Edison International's financial ratios translate raw accounting data into comparable profitability and efficiency signals. Selected reports below provide context for Edison Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edison International provides a cross-check on projections for Edison International. The historical view provides additional context. New to investing in Edison Stock? Start with our How to Invest in Edison Stock guide for a step-by-step overview.Edison International P/E of 29.72 alongside ROE at 24.1% frames the starting point - the resources below add portfolio-level context that single-security analysis cannot provide alone. Within the Utilities space, these metrics give the peer comparison tools below a concrete starting point for relative analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.463 | Dividend Share 3.36 | Earnings Share 11.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.308 |
Investors evaluate Edison International using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Edison International's market capitalization is 27.6 B. Edison International P/B of 1.62 shows the market assigns a modest premium over accounting equity. Enterprise value stands at 69.49 B. Value and price for Edison International are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
Value and price for Edison International are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For Edison International, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 29.72, a P/B ratio of 1.62, a profit margin of 23.08%, and ROE of 24.1%. Edison International market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.