Dawson Geophysical Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DWSN Stock | USD 2.41 -0.55 -18.58% |
This page provides reference data for Dawson Geophysical using Simple Moving Average forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dawson Geophysical on the next trading day is expected to be 2.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Dawson Geophysical price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Dawson Geophysical. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for Dawson Geophysical presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dawson Geophysical on the next trading day is expected to be 2.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.13 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dawson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dawson Geophysical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dawson Geophysical | Dawson Geophysical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Dawson Geophysical's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.02 and upside near 9.93.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dawson Geophysical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dawson Geophysical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3681 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0183 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1831 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0663 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.8 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dawson Geophysical
For investors considering Dawson, Dawson Geophysical's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Dawson Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Dawson Geophysical Related Equities
The following equities are related to Dawson Geophysical within the Energy space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Dawson Geophysical against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dawson Geophysical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Dawson Geophysical provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Dawson Geophysical.
Dawson Geophysical Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Dawson Geophysical's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Dawson Geophysical's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 4.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.32 | |||
| Variance | 53.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 103.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 83.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -4.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dawson Geophysical
A coverage review of Dawson Geophysical shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Dawson Geophysical Short Properties
A short-interest review of Dawson Geophysical provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |