COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CUW Stock | EUR 47.82 -0.17 -0.35% |
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's Simple Regression reference data is presented on this page, derived from the application of the forecasting model to historical closing prices. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR on the next trading day is expected to be 51.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.02.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The Simple Regression reference information for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR on the next trading day is expected to be 51.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24 , mean absolute percentage error of 6.84 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.02 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COLUMBIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 49.14 and upside around 53.40 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.8715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2423 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0456 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.022 |
Other Forecasting Options for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR
For any investor considering COLUMBIA, COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in COLUMBIA Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Related Equities
The following equities are related to COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 47.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.09 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.17 |
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Risk Indicators
The analysis of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR
Story coverage around COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Short Properties
Short-interest signals around COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -65.5 M |
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