COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CUW Stock | EUR 47.42 -0.40 -0.84% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR on the next trading day is expected to be 47.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.89.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference information for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR on the next trading day is expected to be 47.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.37 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.89 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COLUMBIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5892 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0035 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5982 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR
The autocorrelation structure of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's daily returns reveals whether COLUMBIA exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in COLUMBIA Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's closing price to its range over a given period.COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR within the Materials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's relative financial strength.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR. For COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR, market strength indicators complement fundamental analysis with timing context.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 47.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.20 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.40 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.64 |
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's investment and either accepting or mitigating it. Understanding the risk profile of COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR
Coverage intensity for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -65.5 M |
Additional Tools for COLUMBIA Stock Analysis
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope |