Clorox Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CLX Stock | USD 112.08 -0.01 -0.01% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.16 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.586 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9239 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8159 | Wall Street Target Price 123.4706 |
This view maps The Clorox attention shifts to recent price behavior and peer activity. This module summarizes sentiment around Clorox using options and short interest metrics.
Short Interest Overview for Clorox
A sudden spike in Clorox's short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
200 Day MA 117.0857 | Short Percent 0.0719 | Short Ratio 3.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.6 M | 50 Day MA 114.9698 |
RSI Trend for Clorox
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 124.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.55.Clorox Hype vs Price Pattern
Sentiment data for The Clorox synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Clorox's sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Clorox, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Clorox Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
When Clorox's implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 124.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.55.Clorox after-hype prediction price | $ 111.4 |
The module provides attention context in addition to forecasting models, technical indicators, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for Clorox using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 Overview for current Clorox contract
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 2.88% across the 2026-04-17 option cycle. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 112.08, it implies a move of about $ 3.22 per day.
Open Interest View for Clorox 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest counts active Clorox option contracts and frames participation alongside price behavior.
Clorox Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Clorox's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Forward estimates should be treated as probability-weighted scenarios rather than point predictions.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 124.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 37.41 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.55 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clorox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clorox's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Clorox | Clorox Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for The Clorox uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 123.19 on the downside to about 126.49 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clorox stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clorox stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7325 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0441 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 306.5497 |
The mean reversion effect in Clorox is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Clorox's price dislocation is essential before acting.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution for Clorox's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Clorox positions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news prediction model for Clorox analyzes the correlation between Clorox's historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Clorox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 109.75 and 113.05, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Clorox.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for The Clorox is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clorox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clorox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clorox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.65 | 0.68 | 0.05 | 7 Events | 7 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
112.08 | 111.40 | 0.61 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 17th of March 2026 Clorox is traded for 112.08. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.68, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Clorox is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 111.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 45.96%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Clorox is about 626.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 112.13. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. Clorox recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 6.11. The company had its last dividend issued on the 22nd of April 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 24th of August 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 7 days. Cross-verify projections for Clorox using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Sector-wide news events often affect Clorox before the fundamental impact on Clorox's own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Clorox-specific developments.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BF-B | Brown Forman | -2.85 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 3.01 | -5.14 | 11.68 | |
| HRL | Hormel Foods | -0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.84 | -2.22 | 7.48 | |
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 5.40 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.08 | 3.08 | -2.87 | 7.84 | |
| SGI | Somnigroup International | 2.87 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 3.59 | -3.59 | 12.76 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 5.02 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -2.36 | 7.15 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | -0.14 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.22 | 2.37 | -1.67 | 7.20 | |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group | -2.03 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.99 | -3.14 | 12.51 | |
| SJM | The J M | -3.55 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.07 | 2.52 | -2.51 | 11.77 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | -2.32 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.69 | -3.22 | 10.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Clorox
For both new and experienced investors in Clorox, the ability to analyze Clorox's price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Clorox Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.Clorox Related Equities
The following equities are related to Clorox within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Clorox against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clorox Market Strength Events
Tracking market strength indicators for Clorox helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in The Clorox for maximum return potential.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 112.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 112.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 |
Clorox Risk Indicators
Properly assessing Clorox's risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Clorox's allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.84 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Clorox
The amount of media and story coverage tied to The Clorox can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Clorox Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for The Clorox is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 167 M |
More Resources for Clorox Stock Analysis
Understanding Clorox typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for The Clorox Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for The Clorox Stock:Cross-verify projections for Clorox using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox. The view provides historical context for the projection set. With Clorox showing P/E 45.43 and ROE 98.72%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Within the Consumer Defensive space, these metrics give the peer comparison tools below a concrete starting point for relative analysis. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.16 | Dividend Share 4.94 | Earnings Share 6.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
Understanding Clorox includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Clorox's accounting equity. Clorox's market capitalization is 13.67 B. Clorox P/B of 41.4 reflects a market valuation far exceeding accounting equity. Enterprise value stands at 16.37 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Clorox's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Clorox, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 45.43, a P/B ratio of 41.4, a profit margin of 11.17%, and ROE of 98.72%. Clorox's market quotation reflects the latest level where a willing buyer met a willing seller.