Clorox Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CLX Stock | USD 113.39 -1.27 -1.11% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.16 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.586 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9239 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8159 | Wall Street Target Price 123.4706 |
This section provides headline-driven context for The Clorox alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Clorox's options activity and short interest context.
Clorox Short Interest View
A sudden spike in Clorox's short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
200 Day MA 117.5791 | Short Percent 0.0711 | Short Ratio 3.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 113.6384 |
Clorox RSI Context
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 112.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.38.Clorox Hype-Price Relationship
Sentiment data for The Clorox synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Clorox's sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Clorox, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Clorox Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
When Clorox's implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 112.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.38.Clorox after-hype prediction price | USD 114.66 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox can be used to cross-verify projections for Clorox. The historical series provides projection context.Rule 16 Overview for current Clorox contract - Risk Context
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0325% across the 2026-04-17 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near USD 113.39, it implies about USD 0.0369 per day.
Open Interest Context: Clorox 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest represents the number of active Clorox option contracts and offers a participation signal.
Clorox Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Clorox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clorox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clorox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Clorox Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Clorox on the next trading day is expected to be 112.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.33 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.38 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clorox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clorox's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Clorox Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Clorox | Clorox Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Clorox Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for The Clorox uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clorox stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clorox stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2099 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3793 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 81.3814 |
The mean reversion effect in Clorox's is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Clorox's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Clorox After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution for Clorox's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Clorox positions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Clorox Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news prediction model for Clorox analyzes the correlation between Clorox's historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Clorox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.10 and 116.22, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Clorox.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to The Clorox assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Clorox Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clorox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clorox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clorox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.57 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
113.39 | 114.66 | 0.00 |
|
Clorox Hype Timeline
On the 9th of March Clorox is traded for 113.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Clorox is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Clorox is about 231.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.53. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.32. Clorox recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 24th of August 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 9 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox can be used to cross-verify projections for Clorox. The historical series provides projection context.Clorox Related Hype Analysis
Sector-wide news events often affect Clorox before the fundamental impact on Clorox's own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Clorox-specific developments.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BF-B | Brown Forman | -0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.16 | -5.16 | 11.68 | |
| HRL | Hormel Foods | -0.30 | 11 per month | 1.30 | 0.06 | 3.14 | -2.13 | 7.48 | |
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | -0.99 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.08 | 2.98 | -2.86 | 7.84 | |
| SGI | Somnigroup International | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.59 | -3.59 | 12.76 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 4.39 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.20 | 3.07 | -2.36 | 7.15 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 3.24 | 10 per month | 1.02 | 0.19 | 2.37 | -1.92 | 7.20 | |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group | 1.54 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.99 | -3.14 | 12.51 | |
| SJM | The J M | -1.69 | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.08 | 2.52 | -2.51 | 11.77 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | -0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.69 | -2.91 | 10.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Clorox
For both new and experienced investors in Clorox, the ability to analyze Clorox's price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Clorox Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.Clorox Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clorox stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clorox could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clorox by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clorox Market Strength Events
Tracking market strength indicators for Clorox helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in The Clorox for maximum return potential.
| Accumulation Distribution | 121030.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.25 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 111.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 112.11 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.29 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -1.27 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.12 |
Clorox Risk Indicators
Properly assessing Clorox's risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Clorox's allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Clorox
Coverage intensity for The Clorox matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Clorox Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to The Clorox matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 167 M |
More Resources for Clorox Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Clorox starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for The Clorox Stock. Key reports that frame The Clorox Stock are listed below:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clorox can be used to cross-verify projections for Clorox. The historical series provides projection context. Analysis related to Clorox should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.16 | Dividend Share 4.94 | Earnings Share 6.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
Clorox market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Clorox balance sheet. Intrinsic value is an analytical estimate of Clorox's underlying worth that can differ from price and book value. Prices respond to market conditions and behavior, which can widen gaps versus fundamentals. Valuation methods help interpret those gaps.
It is useful to distinguish Clorox's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. A full view may include fundamental ratios, momentum patterns, industry dynamics, and analyst estimates. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.