Cardinal Health Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CLH Stock | EUR 190.10 0.40 0.21% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Wall Street Target Price 57.92 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
This view connects Cardinal Health headline attention with price response and peer context.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is expected to be 194.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 173.93.Cardinal Health after-hype prediction price | € 190.1 |
Hype metrics are shown as one component among forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
Cardinal |
Cardinal Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cardinal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cardinal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cardinal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cardinal Health Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is expected to be 194.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85 , mean absolute percentage error of 13.16 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 173.93 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cardinal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cardinal Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cardinal Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cardinal Health | Cardinal Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cardinal Health Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Cardinal Health uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cardinal Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cardinal Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6878 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8513 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 173.9289 |
Mean reversion opportunities in Cardinal Health's arise when market prices disconnect from fundamental anchors such as earnings, book value, or historical price-to-earnings multiples.
Cardinal Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Using probability distributions for Cardinal Health forecasting acknowledges that no model can consistently predict Cardinal Health's exact future price. The distribution approach quantifies model uncertainty and helps investors avoid overconfidence in any single forecast.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cardinal Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price analysis for Cardinal Health provides a news-conditional view of potential price outcomes. Cardinal Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 187.88 and 192.32, respectively. This analysis complements technical and fundamental research by adding a news-sentiment dimension to Cardinal Health's price forecasting.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Cardinal Health assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Cardinal Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cardinal Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardinal Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cardinal Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.24 | 0.40 | 0.15 | 11 Events | 1 Events | In 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
190.10 | 190.10 | 0.00 |
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Cardinal Health Hype Timeline
Cardinal Health is currently traded for 190.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Cardinal is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 128.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cardinal Health is about 337.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 189.95. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.43. Cardinal Health recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of April 2026. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next estimated press release will be in 11 days. Cross-verify projections for Cardinal Health using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Cardinal Health Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype comparison table for Cardinal Health includes downside risk metrics such as value-at-risk and maximum drawdown for Cardinal Health's competitors. providing context for assessing the relative risk profile of a Cardinal Health investment.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BE4A | BEAZER HOMES USA | 0.80 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 5.20 | -3.48 | 19.24 | |
| 3RW | VIRGIN WINES UK | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.96 | 0.09 | 3.85 | -1.82 | 21.45 | |
| WI8 | Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane | 0.18 | 1 per month | 1.41 | 0.07 | 3.19 | -2.12 | 8.34 | |
| 4MI | MI Homes | -5.60 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.0003 | 3.50 | -2.73 | 10.35 | |
| 47X | CENTURIA OFFICE REIT | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.67 | -5.97 | 18.16 | |
| ODP | OFFICE DEPOT | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| C5H | CAIRN HOMES EO | -0.03 | 1 per month | 1.73 | 0.12 | 3.77 | -2.93 | 10.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cardinal Health
The movement of Cardinal price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in Cardinal Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.Cardinal Health Related Equities
The following equities are related to Cardinal Health within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Cardinal Health against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cardinal Health Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for Cardinal Health to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of Cardinal Health positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
Cardinal Health Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of Cardinal Health's basic risk indicators helps investors understand the risk environment surrounding cardinal stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting Cardinal Health's future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cardinal Health
Coverage intensity for Cardinal Health matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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More Resources for Cardinal Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Cardinal Health starts with financial statements and ratio context. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Cardinal Health Stock:Cross-verify projections for Cardinal Health using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health. The view provides historical context for the projection set. For a detailed overview of how to trade Cardinal Stock, see our How to Trade Cardinal Stock guide.Analysis related to Cardinal Health should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.