Compania Cervecerias Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CCU Stock | USD 11.67 0.13 1.13% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data for Compania Cervecerias Unidas is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 11.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.14.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Compania Cervecerias observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Compania Cervecerias Unidas observations. All Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for Compania Cervecerias Unidas are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 11.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.14 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compania Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compania Cervecerias' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compania Cervecerias | Compania Cervecerias Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Compania Cervecerias Unidas focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compania Cervecerias stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compania Cervecerias stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.019 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2228 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.1448 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compania Cervecerias
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Compania needs to understand the dynamics of Compania Cervecerias' price movement. Price charts for Compania Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Compania Cervecerias Related Equities
The following equities are related to Compania Cervecerias within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Compania Cervecerias against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compania Cervecerias Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Compania Cervecerias enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Compania Cervecerias Unidas.
Compania Cervecerias Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Compania Cervecerias' key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process quantifies the risk associated with Compania Cervecerias' and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compania Cervecerias
Coverage intensity for Compania Cervecerias Unidas matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Compania Cervecerias Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Compania Cervecerias Unidas matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 530.6 B |
Additional Tools for Compania Stock Analysis
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings |