Compania Cervecerias Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CCU Stock | USD 15.25 0.17 1.13% |
Compania Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Compania Cervecerias' share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Compania, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7735 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8465 | Wall Street Target Price 10.8375 |
Using Compania Cervecerias hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas from the perspective of Compania Cervecerias response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Compania Cervecerias using Compania Cervecerias' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Compania using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Compania Cervecerias' stock price.
Compania Cervecerias Implied Volatility | 1.85 |
Compania Cervecerias' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Compania Cervecerias Unidas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Compania Cervecerias' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Compania Cervecerias stock will not fluctuate a lot when Compania Cervecerias' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 15.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.77. Compania Cervecerias after-hype prediction price | USD 15.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compania Cervecerias to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Compania contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Compania Cervecerias Unidas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Compania Cervecerias trading at USD 15.25, that is roughly USD 0.0176 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Compania Cervecerias' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Compania Cervecerias Unidas options at the current volatility level of 1.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Compania Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Compania Cervecerias' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Compania Cervecerias' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Compania Cervecerias stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Compania Cervecerias' open interest, investors have to compare it to Compania Cervecerias' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Compania Cervecerias is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Compania. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Compania Cervecerias Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compania price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compania using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compania charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Compania Cervecerias Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 15.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compania Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compania Cervecerias' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Compania Cervecerias Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compania Cervecerias | Compania Cervecerias Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Compania Cervecerias Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Compania Cervecerias' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compania Cervecerias' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.65 and 16.85, respectively. We have considered Compania Cervecerias' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compania Cervecerias stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compania Cervecerias stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5598 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0667 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2128 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.77 |
Predictive Modules for Compania Cervecerias
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania Cervecerias. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compania Cervecerias' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Compania Cervecerias After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compania Cervecerias at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compania Cervecerias or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compania Cervecerias, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compania Cervecerias Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compania Cervecerias' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compania Cervecerias' historical news coverage. Compania Cervecerias' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.66 and 16.84, respectively. We have considered Compania Cervecerias' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compania Cervecerias is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compania Cervecerias is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compania Cervecerias Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compania Cervecerias is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compania Cervecerias backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compania Cervecerias, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.60 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.25 | 15.25 | 0.00 |
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Compania Cervecerias Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Compania Cervecerias is traded for 15.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Compania is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Compania Cervecerias is about 277.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.44. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Compania Cervecerias has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 5:2 split on the 20th of December 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compania Cervecerias to cross-verify your projections.Compania Cervecerias Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compania Cervecerias' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compania Cervecerias' future price movements. Getting to know how Compania Cervecerias' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compania Cervecerias may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAM | Boston Beer | (0.21) | 2 per month | 1.99 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (3.36) | 10.23 | |
| CHA | Chagee Holdings Limited | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.85 | (4.48) | 15.71 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | (0.26) | 11 per month | 1.93 | 0.18 | 4.79 | (3.36) | 13.15 | |
| FLO | Flowers Foods | 1.95 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.55 | (3.72) | 11.13 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | 0.43 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.99 | (3.05) | 7.83 | |
| CHEF | The Chefs Warehouse | (0.26) | 5 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 3.12 | (2.85) | 10.20 | |
| PRDO | Perdoceo Education Corp | 0.87 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.71 | (3.17) | 11.89 | |
| UNFI | United Natural Foods | 0.87 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.75 | (7.32) | 13.48 | |
| SMPL | Simply Good Foods | 1.95 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (3.46) | 17.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compania Cervecerias
For every potential investor in Compania, whether a beginner or expert, Compania Cervecerias' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compania Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compania. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compania Cervecerias' price trends.Compania Cervecerias Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compania Cervecerias stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compania Cervecerias could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compania Cervecerias by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compania Cervecerias Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compania Cervecerias stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compania Cervecerias shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compania Cervecerias stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compania Cervecerias Unidas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2362.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.2 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 |
Compania Cervecerias Risk Indicators
The analysis of Compania Cervecerias' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compania Cervecerias' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compania stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Variance | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compania Cervecerias
The number of cover stories for Compania Cervecerias depends on current market conditions and Compania Cervecerias' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compania Cervecerias is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compania Cervecerias' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Compania Cervecerias Short Properties
Compania Cervecerias' future price predictability will typically decrease when Compania Cervecerias' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Compania Cervecerias Unidas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Compania Cervecerias' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compania Cervecerias' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 707.9 B |
Additional Tools for Compania Stock Analysis
When running Compania Cervecerias' price analysis, check to measure Compania Cervecerias' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compania Cervecerias is operating at the current time. Most of Compania Cervecerias' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compania Cervecerias' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compania Cervecerias' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compania Cervecerias to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.