Banque Cantonale Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BCJ Stock | CHF 85.00 5.00 6.25% |
This reference view applies Simple Moving Average to Banque Cantonale Du's historical closing prices. The resulting forecast and deviation statistics are presented as reference data for informational context.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banque Cantonale Du on the next trading day is expected to be 85.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.00.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Banque Cantonale Du price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Banque Cantonale. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average projections for Banque Cantonale Du are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banque Cantonale Du on the next trading day is expected to be 85.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.45 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.00 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banque Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banque Cantonale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Banque Cantonale | Banque Cantonale Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Banque Cantonale Du focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 82.74 and upside near 87.26.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banque Cantonale stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banque Cantonale stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6741 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4492 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2712 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.0 |
Other Forecasting Options for Banque Cantonale
The price behavior of Banque is a primary concern for any investor, beginner or expert, evaluating it as an investment. Banque Stock price charts can be cluttered with noise that obscures the underlying trend.Banque Cantonale Related Equities
The following equities are related to Banque Cantonale within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Banque Cantonale against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Banque Cantonale Market Strength Events
Evaluating the market strength of Banque Cantonale stock allows investors to gauge how the security tracks and reacts to shifts in market momentum. These indicators are particularly useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in Banque Cantonale Du.
Banque Cantonale Risk Indicators
Understanding Banque Cantonale's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price with reasonable accuracy. Quantifying the risk involved in Banque Cantonale's allows investors to make better decisions about entry, sizing, and hedging.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Banque Cantonale
Story coverage around Banque Cantonale Du often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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