Baidu Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BAIDF Stock | USD 16.69 1.54 10.17% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast reference data for Baidu Inc is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Baidu Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.29.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Baidu Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Baidu. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future All Simple Moving Average forecast figures shown for Baidu Inc are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Baidu Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.72 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.29 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baidu Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baidu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Baidu | Baidu Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Baidu's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 11.66 on the downside to about 21.72 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baidu pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baidu pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0995 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0303 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5472 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0324 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.285 |
Other Forecasting Options for Baidu
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Baidu needs to understand the dynamics of Baidu's price movement. Price charts for Baidu Pink Sheet contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Baidu Related Equities
The following equities are related to Baidu within the Internet Content & Information space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Baidu against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Baidu Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Baidu enables investors to understand how the pink sheet performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Baidu Inc.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.77 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.54 |
Baidu Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Baidu's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process quantifies the risk associated with Baidu's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Variance | 23.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -7.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Baidu
Coverage intensity for Baidu Inc matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
More Resources for Baidu Pink Sheet Analysis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Baidu Pink Sheet
The foundation for reviewing Baidu Inc is its financial reporting and trend data. Financial ratios help explain how results are produced and sustained. The dataset reflects Baidu's financial reporting across available periods. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Baidu Inc Stock:The Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baidu dataset supports cross-verification of projections for Baidu. The historical series provides projection context. The length of the historical series can affect the robustness of trend identification.With Baidu showing P/E 2.24 and ROE 1.53%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Additional scrutiny through the profitability and balance-sheet tools is warranted. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.