Atomera Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ATOM Stock | USD 2.59 0.08 3.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atomera on the next trading day is expected to be 2.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.57. Atomera Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Atomera's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Atomera's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Atomera fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Atomera's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.53) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.50) |
Using Atomera hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atomera from the perspective of Atomera response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atomera using Atomera's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atomera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atomera's stock price.
Atomera Implied Volatility | 1.56 |
Atomera's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atomera stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atomera's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atomera stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atomera's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atomera on the next trading day is expected to be 2.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.57. Atomera after-hype prediction price | USD 2.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atomera to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Atomera Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Atomera's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Atomera's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Atomera stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Atomera's open interest, investors have to compare it to Atomera's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Atomera is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Atomera. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Atomera Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atomera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atomera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atomera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atomera Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Atomera on the next trading day is expected to be 2.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atomera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atomera's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atomera Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atomera | Atomera Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atomera Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atomera's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atomera's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.90, respectively. We have considered Atomera's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atomera stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atomera stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3409 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1897 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.5721 |
Predictive Modules for Atomera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atomera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atomera After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atomera at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atomera or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atomera, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atomera Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atomera's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atomera's historical news coverage. Atomera's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.30, respectively. We have considered Atomera's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atomera is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atomera is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atomera Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atomera is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atomera backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atomera, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 4.68 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.59 | 2.62 | 1.16 |
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Atomera Hype Timeline
Atomera is presently traded for 2.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Atomera is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Atomera is about 11142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.58. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 135 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (165 K). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atomera to cross-verify your projections.Atomera Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atomera's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atomera's future price movements. Getting to know how Atomera's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atomera may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NA | Nano Labs | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.45 | (6.20) | 38.30 | |
| GCTS | GCT Semiconductor Holding | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.62 | (6.78) | 23.52 | |
| ASYS | Amtech Systems | 0.66 | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.29 | 6.84 | (3.43) | 23.86 | |
| WKEY | Wisekey International Holding | (0.02) | 8 per month | 7.75 | 0.04 | 16.61 | (12.52) | 46.61 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | (0.06) | 10 per month | 3.41 | 0.01 | 4.84 | (5.86) | 18.85 | |
| INVE | Identiv | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.99 | (5.60) | 15.58 | |
| SILC | Silicom | (0.62) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.00 | (3.78) | 18.46 | |
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | 0.11 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.67 | (7.80) | 19.40 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | (0.39) | 1 per month | 3.71 | 0.20 | 8.77 | (6.39) | 23.03 | |
| RCT | RedCloud Holdings plc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.72 | (8.98) | 26.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atomera
For every potential investor in Atomera, whether a beginner or expert, Atomera's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atomera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atomera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atomera's price trends.Atomera Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atomera stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atomera could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atomera by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atomera Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atomera stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atomera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atomera stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atomera entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) |
Atomera Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atomera's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atomera's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atomera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.28 | |||
| Variance | 39.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atomera
The number of cover stories for Atomera depends on current market conditions and Atomera's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atomera is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atomera's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atomera Short Properties
Atomera's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atomera's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atomera often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atomera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atomera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atomera to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Atomera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atomera guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atomera. If investors know Atomera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atomera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.50) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Atomera is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atomera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atomera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atomera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atomera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atomera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atomera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atomera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atomera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.