Atmus Filtration Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATMU Stock | 56.73 0.57 0.99% |
Atmus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Atmus Filtration's stock price is slightly above 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atmus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.269 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5942 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.6323 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8517 | Wall Street Target Price 60 |
Using Atmus Filtration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atmus Filtration Technologies from the perspective of Atmus Filtration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atmus Filtration using Atmus Filtration's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atmus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atmus Filtration's stock price.
Atmus Filtration Short Interest
An investor who is long Atmus Filtration may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Atmus Filtration and may potentially protect profits, hedge Atmus Filtration with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 43.2405 | Short Percent 0.0325 | Short Ratio 3.52 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 52.2998 |
Atmus Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atmus Filtration Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 56.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.63.Atmus Filtration Tec Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Atmus Filtration's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Atmus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atmus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atmus Filtration Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atmus Filtration's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atmus Filtration.
Atmus Filtration Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Atmus Filtration's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atmus Filtration Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atmus Filtration's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atmus Filtration stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atmus Filtration's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atmus Filtration Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 56.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.63. Atmus Filtration after-hype prediction price | USD 56.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atmus Filtration to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Atmus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Atmus Filtration Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Atmus Filtration trading at USD 56.73, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Atmus Filtration's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Atmus Filtration Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Atmus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Atmus Filtration's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Atmus Filtration's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Atmus Filtration stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Atmus Filtration's open interest, investors have to compare it to Atmus Filtration's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Atmus Filtration is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Atmus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Atmus Filtration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atmus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atmus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atmus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atmus Filtration Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atmus Filtration Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 56.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atmus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atmus Filtration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atmus Filtration Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atmus Filtration | Atmus Filtration Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atmus Filtration Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atmus Filtration's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atmus Filtration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.89 and 58.57, respectively. We have considered Atmus Filtration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atmus Filtration stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atmus Filtration stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9708 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1579 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7316 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.63 |
Predictive Modules for Atmus Filtration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atmus Filtration Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atmus Filtration After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atmus Filtration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atmus Filtration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atmus Filtration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atmus Filtration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atmus Filtration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atmus Filtration's historical news coverage. Atmus Filtration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.89 and 58.57, respectively. We have considered Atmus Filtration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atmus Filtration is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atmus Filtration Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atmus Filtration Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atmus Filtration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atmus Filtration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atmus Filtration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 15 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.73 | 56.73 | 0.00 |
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Atmus Filtration Hype Timeline
Atmus Filtration Tec is presently traded for 56.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.35. Atmus is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atmus Filtration is about 186.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.08. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atmus Filtration to cross-verify your projections.Atmus Filtration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atmus Filtration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atmus Filtration's future price movements. Getting to know how Atmus Filtration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atmus Filtration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 1.31 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.60 | (4.02) | 8.12 | |
| CAAP | Corporacion America Airports | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.65 | 0.25 | 4.77 | (2.21) | 19.75 | |
| BRC | Brady | 0.71 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.06 | 2.35 | (1.89) | 5.12 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.04 | 2.91 | (1.90) | 14.48 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | 1.75 | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.02 | 1.79 | (2.27) | 8.59 | |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products | (0.52) | 9 per month | 1.44 | (0) | 2.38 | (1.95) | 5.94 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | 2.51 | 8 per month | 2.10 | 0.12 | 4.96 | (2.69) | 11.39 | |
| SKYW | SkyWest | 2.51 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (2.46) | 11.11 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | (0.74) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.76 | (5.25) | 15.73 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | 2.51 | 12 per month | 1.79 | 0.10 | 4.51 | (3.15) | 12.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atmus Filtration
For every potential investor in Atmus, whether a beginner or expert, Atmus Filtration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atmus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atmus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atmus Filtration's price trends.Atmus Filtration Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atmus Filtration stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atmus Filtration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atmus Filtration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atmus Filtration Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atmus Filtration stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atmus Filtration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atmus Filtration stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atmus Filtration Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9506.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.41) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 56.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.57) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.41 |
Atmus Filtration Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atmus Filtration's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atmus Filtration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atmus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atmus Filtration
The number of cover stories for Atmus Filtration depends on current market conditions and Atmus Filtration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atmus Filtration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atmus Filtration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atmus Filtration Short Properties
Atmus Filtration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atmus Filtration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atmus Filtration Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atmus Filtration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atmus Filtration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 184.3 M |
Additional Tools for Atmus Stock Analysis
When running Atmus Filtration's price analysis, check to measure Atmus Filtration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atmus Filtration is operating at the current time. Most of Atmus Filtration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atmus Filtration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atmus Filtration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atmus Filtration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.