Amrize Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AMRZ Stock | 58.91 0.79 1.36% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.6886 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1231 | Wall Street Target Price 67.0733 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.06 |
This view relates Amrize's headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around Amrize in this section.
Short Interest Tracking - Amrize
Amrize short interest relative to sector peers provides additional context. If Amrize's short interest is significantly higher than competitors. the market may perceive company-specific risks that warrant investigation.
200 Day MA 52.7074 | Short Ratio 2.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.9 M | 50 Day MA 57.629 | Shares Short 9.2 M |
RSI Oscillator - Amrize
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amrize on the next trading day is expected to be 58.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.96.Attention-to-Price Pattern - Amrize
The relationship between Amrize's news sentiment and price action reveals how efficiently the market processes new information about Amrize. Persistent sentiment-price gaps create exploitable opportunities for disciplined investors.
Investors who systematically buy Amrize when sentiment is deeply negative and sell when it is excessively positive have historically captured mean-reversion returns not available to purely fundamental or technical investors.
Amrize Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Implied volatility in Amrize's options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in Amrize stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amrize on the next trading day is expected to be 58.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.96.Amrize after-hype prediction price | USD 59.04 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for Amrize using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amrize. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Reference for the current Amrize contract - Performance Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-04-17 options is about 0.0363%. This context is informational: with Amrize near USD 58.91, the daily move estimate is USD 0.0214 .
Open Interest Map for Amrize Options 2026-04-17
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Amrize and can be paired with trend context.
Amrize Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amrize price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amrize using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amrize charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amrize Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amrize on the next trading day is expected to be 58.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.42 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.96 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amrize Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amrize's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amrize Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amrize | Amrize Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Amrize Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Amrize uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amrize stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amrize stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.317 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0808 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1349 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.96 |
Experienced Amrize's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Amrize After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for Amrize is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate Amrize's historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of Amrize outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amrize Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from Amrize's historical news analysis represent the range within which Amrize's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. Amrize's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.48 and 61.60, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for Amrize.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Amrize assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Amrize Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amrize is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amrize backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amrize, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.56 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 9 Events | 8 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
58.91 | 59.04 | 0.22 |
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Amrize Hype Timeline
Amrize is presently traded for 58.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Amrize is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Amrize is about 174.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.15. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.81 B. Net Income was 1.19 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.03 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 9 days. Cross-verify projections for Amrize using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amrize. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Amrize Related Hype Analysis
Understanding Amrize's position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for Amrize. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to Amrize's industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KGC | Kinross Gold | -0.03 | 11 per month | 3.95 | 0.07 | 5.73 | -5.25 | 22.39 | |
| NTR | Nutrien | 2.37 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.18 | 3.35 | -2.66 | 12.86 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | -0.27 | 11 per month | 2.27 | 0.15 | 4.72 | -3.55 | 14.67 | |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | 12.11 | 10 per month | 2.24 | -0.0016 | 2.09 | -3.62 | 11.04 | |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 1.99 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.40 | -3.89 | 11.94 | |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | 2.62 | 9 per month | 1.91 | 0.06 | 4.34 | -3.05 | 9.08 | |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | -0.21 | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.40 | -2.45 | 6.87 | |
| TECK | Teck Resources Ltd | -2.00 | 11 per month | 2.79 | 0.09 | 4.80 | -4.33 | 14.22 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | -2.09 | 11 per month | 4.27 | 0.10 | 6.01 | -6.92 | 21.11 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | 0.20 | 8 per month | 4.38 | 0.08 | 6.28 | -6.36 | 23.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amrize
Understanding Amrize's price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Amrize as a position. Amrize Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Amrize Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amrize stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amrize could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amrize by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amrize Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Amrize, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Amrize shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
Amrize Risk Indicators
Analyzing Amrize's risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Amrize's investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amrize
Coverage intensity for Amrize matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Amrize Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Amrize matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 553.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
More Resources for Amrize Stock Analysis
Reviewing Amrize commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Selected reports below provide context for Amrize Stock:Cross-verify projections for Amrize using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amrize. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Our How to Buy Amrize Stock guide explains the steps to invest in Amrize stock.Analysis related to Amrize should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | Earnings Share 2.14 | Revenue Per Share 21.361 | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.004 | Return On Assets 0.0507 |
Understanding Amrize includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Amrize accounting equity. Intrinsic value is an estimate of underlying worth, separate from trading price and book value. Market prices can move with sentiment and macro cycles, creating divergence from fundamentals. The valuation process compares these measures for perspective.
The concept of value for Amrize differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. Reviewing financial results, valuation ratios, and competitive positioning helps frame the value discussion. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.