Alamos Gold Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AGI Stock | USD 38.41 0.17 0.44% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 38.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.48. Alamos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alamos Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Alamos Gold's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5702 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5169 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5433 | Wall Street Target Price 47.375 |
Using Alamos Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alamos Gold from the perspective of Alamos Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alamos Gold using Alamos Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alamos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alamos Gold's stock price.
Alamos Gold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Alamos Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alamos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alamos Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.8931 | Short Percent 0.0116 | Short Ratio 3.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 34.9184 |
Alamos Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alamos Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alamos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alamos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alamos Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alamos Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alamos Gold.
Alamos Gold Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Alamos Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alamos Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alamos Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alamos Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alamos Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 38.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.48. Alamos Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 38.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamos Gold to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Alamos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alamos Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alamos Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alamos Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alamos Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alamos Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alamos Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alamos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alamos Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alamos Gold Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alamos Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 38.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alamos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alamos Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alamos Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alamos Gold | Alamos Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alamos Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alamos Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alamos Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.30 and 41.42, respectively. We have considered Alamos Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alamos Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alamos Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1765 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8894 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0257 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.4764 |
Predictive Modules for Alamos Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alamos Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Alamos Gold
For every potential investor in Alamos, whether a beginner or expert, Alamos Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alamos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alamos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alamos Gold's price trends.View Alamos Gold Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alamos Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alamos Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alamos Gold's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alamos Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alamos Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alamos Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alamos Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alamos Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alamos Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alamos Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alamos Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alamos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Variance | 9.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Alamos Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alamos Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alamos Gold Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alamos Gold Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamos Gold to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.281 |
The market value of Alamos Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamos Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamos Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamos Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamos Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamos Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamos Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamos Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.