Alamos Gold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGI Stock  USD 40.65  0.16  0.40%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alamos Gold is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alamos Gold's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Check out Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alamos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alamos Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The Alamos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alamos Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alamos Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alamos Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alamos GoldBuy Alamos Gold
Hold

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alamos Gold has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0898, Jensen Alpha of 0.2845, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0907, Sortino Ratio of 0.0832 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3716
Alamos Gold advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Alamos Gold is not overpriced, please confirm all Alamos Gold fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue . Given that Alamos Gold has a price to earning of 18.17 X, we suggest you to validate Alamos Gold market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alamos Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alamos Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alamos Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of December 2025 Alamos Gold paid $ 0.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: 3 Gold-Linked Stocks Log Momentum Gains As Precious Metal Hits Fresh All-Time High Nearing 4,500 Mark

Alamos Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alamos Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alamos Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alamos Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alamos Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alamos Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alamos Gold.
Mean Return
0.35
Value At Risk
-4.35
Potential Upside
5.22
Standard Deviation
2.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alamos Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alamos Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Norges Bank2025-06-30
5.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
4.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
4.1 M
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2025-06-30
3.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
3.8 M
Franklin Resources Inc2025-06-30
3.5 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
3.4 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
3.3 M
Gmt Capital Corp2025-06-30
2.9 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2025-06-30
33.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
16.7 M
Note, although Alamos Gold's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alamos Gold Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Free Cash Flow67.5M(7.8M)(15.2M)123.8M235.8M247.6M
Capital Expenditures300.9M364.3M313.7M348.9M425.3M446.6M
Net Income144.2M(66.7M)37.1M210M284.3M298.5M
End Period Cash Flow220.5M172.5M129.8M224.8M327.2M343.6M
Change In Cash37.7M(48M)(42.7M)95M102.4M107.5M
Depreciation153.8M170.9M171.5M190.2M218.4M229.3M
Other Non Cash Items(4M)199.7M69.4M5M(108.3M)(102.9M)
Change To Inventory(13.3M)(49.7M)(55.2M)(26M)53.3M56.0M
Investments(314.1M)17M(312.7M)(326.9M)(467.1M)(443.7M)
Net Borrowings(4.1M)(3.3M)(500K)(200K)(68.9M)(65.5M)
Dividends Paid15.6M23.9M34.5M35.1M35.3M36.9M
Change To Netincome32M84.9M306.7M153M176.0M184.7M

Alamos Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alamos Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alamos Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alamos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
3.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Alamos Gold Volatility Alert

Alamos Gold shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alamos Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alamos Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alamos Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alamos Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alamos Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alamos Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alamos Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alamos Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alamos Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alamos Gold to competition
FundamentalsAlamos GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0828-0.14
Profit Margin0.33 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.81 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding419.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.86 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.17 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.21 X9.51 X
Price To Sales10.60 X11.42 X
Revenue1.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA735 M3.9 B
Net Income284.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents144 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt286.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations661.1 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(2.50) X4.89 X
Target Price47.38
Number Of Employees2.4 K18.84 K
Beta0.87-0.15
Market Capitalization17.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.34 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(606.2 M)9.33 B
Working Capital217.7 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Haddrill Richard M of 377030 shares of Alamos Gold subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alamos Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alamos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alamos Gold? Buying financial instruments such as Alamos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alamos Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Conservative Funds Thematic Idea Now

Conservative Funds
Conservative Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest using buy-and-hold investment strategy in companies with consistent growth over many years of operation. The Conservative Funds theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Conservative Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Alamos Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alamos Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alamos Gold Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alamos Gold Stock:
Check out Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.25
Dividend Share
0.1
Earnings Share
1.28
Revenue Per Share
3.828
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.281
The market value of Alamos Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamos Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamos Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamos Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamos Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamos Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamos Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamos Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.