Energy Select Sector Etf Volatility

XLE Etf  USD 57.70  0.19  0.33%   
Energy Select Sector keeps a low volatility profile over the selected analytical period. Energy Select Sector indicates a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of 0.3, implying constructive risk-adjusted performance over the last 3 months. The current setup includes 29 technical indicators relevant to risk behavior.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.3026

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Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsXLE
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns
Latest disclosures for Energy Select Sector show a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.2%, a Risk of 1.38, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2%. Based on moving average positioning, Energy Select is functioning near 24% of its previously observed return span. Portfolio interaction determines incremental risk-adjusted impact.
Key indicators related to Energy Select's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Comparing Energy Select's current volatility against its historical average helps investors identify whether Energy Select is in a period of elevated or suppressed risk. Elevated volatility often coincides with uncertainty about earnings, regulatory changes, or macro conditions.

Volatility Strategy

Energy Select Sector fluctuations may alter downside contribution within diversified portfolios. Current statistical measures show total volatility near 1.38% with a beta coefficient of 0.17, indicating sensitivity relative to the broader market benchmark. Risk-adjusted efficiency, represented by a Sharpe ratio of 0.3, evaluates return per unit of total risk. An alpha value of 0.38 reflects performance relative to systematic market exposure. Expected return estimates near 0.42% are derived from historical distribution modeling and help frame forward-looking return assumptions within a portfolio context. Premium/discount behavior may widen during stress.

Main indicators related to Energy Select's market risk premium analysis include:

 Beta
0.17
 Alpha
0.38
 Risk
1.38
 Sharpe Ratio
0.3
 Expected Return
0.42

Moving together with Energy Etf

  1.0VDE Vanguard Energy IndexPairCorr
  0.96XOP SPDR SAMPP OilPairCorr
  0.97OIH VanEck Oil ServicesPairCorr
  1.0IYE iShares Energy ETFPairCorr
  1.0IXC iShares Global EnergyPairCorr
  0.99FXN First Trust EnergyPairCorr
  1.0FENY Fidelity MSCI EnergyPairCorr
  0.99FTXN First Trust NasdaqPairCorr
  0.96IEO iShares Oil Gas Low VolatilityPairCorr
  0.73SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETFPairCorr
  0.75SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETFPairCorr
  0.84PSI Invesco DynamicPairCorr
  0.77EFNL iShares MSCI FinlandPairCorr
  0.9INR Infinity NaturalPairCorr
  0.77AUMI Themes Gold MinersPairCorr
  0.8FNDE Schwab FundamentalPairCorr
  0.92TBG EA Series TrustPairCorr
  0.88GLD SPDR Gold SharesPairCorr
  0.96FMF First Trust ManagedPairCorr
  0.96PBTP Invesco PureBeta 0PairCorr
  0.93IFRA iShares InfrastructurePairCorr
  0.89HYEM VanEck Emerging MarketsPairCorr

Moving against Energy Etf

  0.87GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin TrustPairCorr
  0.81TECL Direxion Daily TechnologyPairCorr
  0.78ROM ProShares UltraPairCorr
  0.71QLD ProShares Ultra QQQPairCorr
  0.47UPRO ProShares UltraProPairCorr
  0.46SPXL Direxion Daily SAMPP500PairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

Energy Select'sMarket sensitivity for Energy Select Sector is expressed through a beta of 0.17, based on regression between asset returns and market returns. Total price dispersion is near 1.38%.Energy Select Sector price movement reflects recent variability that can be tracked through standard deviation (1.36%) and downside deviation (1.24%). Options markets imply a forward-looking volatility estimate near 21.0%. This reflects comparatively contained forward-looking volatility expectations. ETF dispersion can change when liquidity shifts in the underlying holdings or when spreads widen. Premium/discount to NAV is often expressed as (Price − NAV) / NAV × 100 when NAV is available.
Check current 90 days Energy Select correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.38   β0.17
3 Months Beta |Analyze Energy Select Sector Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Energy Select correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

Standard deviation is the primary measure of Energy daily price volatility relative to its mean over a specified period. High values reflect high volatility; low values reflect a stable price pattern.
Standard Deviation
    
  1.38  
An important distinction for Energy Select investors is between standard deviation (total volatility, including upside) and downside deviation, which measures only the risk of loss in Energy Select's returns. Latest disclosures for Energy Select Sector show a Downside Deviation of 1.24, a Downside Variance of 1.53, and a Maximum Drawdown of 5.38.

Using Energy Put Option to Manage Risk Based on 2026-06-18 Contracts

Latest disclosures for Energy Select Sector show an Option Implied Volatility of 0.21 and an Option Max Pain Price of 60. Protective puts on Energy Select are a straightforward way to manage downside risk. By purchasing a put on Energy Etf, an investor guarantees a minimum exit price for Energy Select during the option period.

Energy Select's PUT expiring on 2026-06-18

   Profit   
       Energy Select Price At Expiration  

Current Energy Select Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
XLE260618P000720000.00.022462026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000730000.00.0152026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000740000.00.040932026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000760000.00.041302026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000770000.00.08402026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000780000.00.039052026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000790000.00.06592026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000800000.00.0205282026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000810000.00.0266342026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000820000.00.052342026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
Put
XLE260618P000830000.00.030882026-06-180.0 - 0.00.0View
View All Energy Select Options

Etf Volatility Analysis

Tracking Energy Select volatility helps market participants understand the degree of price uncertainty. Sharp price swings in Energy Select's etf often accompany major news events, earnings announcements, or macro shifts.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Energy Select Sector Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Energy Select Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Energy Select has a beta of 0.1732 . This entails as returns on the market go up, Energy Select's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Energy Select Sector is expected to be smaller as well.
Energy Select combines broad market sensitivity with company or sector-specific developments. Diversification may lower asset-specific risk, but systematic volatility remains inherent. Latest disclosures for Energy Select Sector show a Downside Deviation of 1.24, a Mean Deviation of 1.07, and an Option Implied Volatility of 0.21.
Energy Select Sector has an alpha of 0.3829, implying that it can generate a 0.3829 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Energy Select's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how energy etf's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Energy Select Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Etf Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Energy Select is 330.48. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.91 and standard deviation of 1.38. The mean deviation of Energy Select Sector is currently at 1.08. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.31

Etf Return Volatility

Energy Select historical daily return volatility represents how much of Energy Select etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund has volatility of 1.3813% on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7855% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

VFTAXVFTNX
SPDWEFV
XLIDVY
VFTNXIUSG
VFTAXIUSG
DVYEFV
  

High negative correlations

VFTAXDVY
VFTNXDVY
IUSGDVY
VFTAXXLI
VFTNXXLI
XLIIUSG

Energy Select Constituents Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Energy Etf performing well and Energy Select ETF doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Energy Select's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Volatility for Energy Select reflects price dispersion, spread stability, and underlying basket liquidity conditions. Return spread influences portfolio contribution and drawdown risk.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Energy Select Sector is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Energy Select Investment Opportunity

Measured over the selected horizon, Energy Select Sector carries roughly 1.75 times the return volatility of Dow Jones Industrial. That added volatility may be acceptable only if the position is expected to deliver stronger return efficiency or diversification value.You can use Energy Select Sector to enhance the returns of your portfolios. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It is intended to separate routine noise from more speculative bursts in price action. a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Energy Select to be traded at $60.59 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

Across the chosen horizon, XLE and DJI show a correlation of 0.07 and fall into the Significant diversification bucket. In portfolio terms, the overlap visualization shows how much shared movement remains after both positions are combined.

Energy Select Additional Risk Indicators

Risk analysis around Energy Select Sector becomes more useful when investors review secondary indicators that can confirm, refine, or challenge the basic volatility picture. Used correctly, these measures can support both standalone risk assessment and portfolio-level hedging decisions.

Energy Select Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading with Energy Select can help investors hedge some company-specific exposure by balancing a long view with an offsetting position. The key question is whether the second leg adds real hedge value instead of just creating a more complex version of the same risk.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Energy Select as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Energy Select's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Energy Select's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Energy Select Sector.

More Resources for Energy Etf Analysis

A comprehensive view of Energy Select Sector starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Energy Select Sector Etf. Key reports that frame Energy Select Sector Etf are listed below:
Energy Select has a market cap of 17.19 B. Review Your Current Watchlist for broader portfolio context. This reflects a position in Energy Select Sector in the portfolio view. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Analysis related to Energy Select should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Understanding Energy Select Sector includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Energy's accounting equity. Energy Select's market capitalization is 17.19 B. A P/B ratio of 1.85 indicates the market values Energy Select above its accounting book value. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Energy Select's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Energy Select, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 4.94, and a P/B ratio of 1.85. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.