Small Cap Value Fund Volatility

ASVIX Fund  USD 8.95  -0.02  -0.22%   
Recent trading patterns suggest Small Cap Value maintains a low volatility profile. It exhibits a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of 0.0038, showing reward per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Current volatility conditions are reflected in 27 technical indicators.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0038

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Negative ReturnsASVIX
Small Cap Value reported a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3%, a Risk of 1.11, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1%. Moving average data indicates Small Cap is not operating at maximum efficiency. A well-diversified portfolio allocation can reduce market risk and improve total performance.
Key indicators related to Small Cap's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Volatility analysis for Small Cap draws on both historical price data and forward-looking implied volatility from the options market. Together these measures provide a comprehensive view of Small Cap's risk profile.
  

Volatility Strategy

Observed trading dispersion in Small Cap Value can affect long-term allocation structure. Current statistical measures show total volatility near 1.11% with a beta coefficient of 0.93, indicating sensitivity relative to the broader market benchmark. Risk-adjusted efficiency, represented by a Sharpe ratio of 0.0038, evaluates return per unit of total risk. An alpha value of 0.27 reflects performance relative to systematic market exposure. Expected return estimates near 0.0042% are derived from historical distribution modeling and help frame forward-looking return assumptions within a portfolio context. Volatility effects depend on underlying market structure and exposure characteristics.

Main indicators related to Small Cap's market risk premium analysis include:

 Beta
0.93
 Alpha
0.27
 Risk
1.11
 Sharpe Ratio
0.0038
 Expected Return
0.0042

Moving together with Small Mutual Fund

  0.85AMGIX Income GrowthPairCorr
  0.7CDBCX Diversified BondPairCorr
  0.79AMKIX Emerging MarketsPairCorr
  0.69TWACX Short Term GovernmentPairCorr
  0.65TWCCX Ultra Fund CPairCorr
  0.74TWARX Short Term GovernmentPairCorr
  0.7TWAVX Short Term GovernmentPairCorr
  0.78AMVYX Mid Cap ValuePairCorr
  0.98AMVRX Mid Cap ValuePairCorr
  0.78AMVGX Mid Cap ValuePairCorr
  0.78TWEAX Equity IncomePairCorr
  0.77TWEIX Equity IncomePairCorr
  0.79TWMIX Emerging MarketsPairCorr
  0.64TWRCX Growth Fund CPairCorr
  0.8TWTCX Intermediate Term TaxPairCorr
  0.8TWTIX Intermediate Term TaxPairCorr
  0.78TWSCX STRATEGIC ALLOCATION:PairCorr
  0.79TWSAX STRATEGIC ALLOCATION:PairCorr
  0.79TWSMX STRATEGIC ALLOCATION:PairCorr

Moving against Small Mutual Fund

  0.58TWCGX Growth Fund InvestorPairCorr
  0.43TWCAX Select Fund APairCorr
  0.43TWCIX Select Fund InvestorPairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

Small Cap systematic risk exposure is reflected in a beta value of 0.93. Beta is derived from regression analysis comparing asset and benchmark returns. Measured volatility currently stands near 1.11%.Over the current lookback period, Small Cap Value shows a low volatility profile, using downside deviation (1.12%) as a primary reference. Fund volatility can shift after rebalancing or changes in the underlying allocation bands.
Check current 90 days Small Cap correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.27   β0.93
3 Months Beta |Analyze Small Cap Value Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Small Cap correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

Standard deviation for Small expresses the daily price volatility over a selected time horizon as a spread around the mean. High values indicate volatile instruments; low values indicate stable ones.
Standard Deviation
    
  1.11  
For Small Cap investors, the distinction between upside and downside risk matters. Standard deviation measures total volatility including favorable moves, while downside deviation and semi-deviation isolate the loss risk in Small Cap's daily returns. Small Cap Value reported a Downside Deviation of 1.12, a Downside Variance of 1.26, and a Maximum Drawdown of 15.89.

Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility describes the degree to which Small Cap mutual fund price fluctuates in either direction. Highly volatile mutual funds like Small Cap can offer significant profit opportunities, but also come with heightened risk.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. Small Cap Value Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming a 90-day horizon Small Cap has a beta of 0.9295 . This suggests Small Cap Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Small Cap is expected to follow.
Systematic risk links Small Cap to overall mutual fund market cycles, while unsystematic risk stems from company or sector-specific developments. Diversification addresses the latter, but macro sensitivity persists. Beta measures relative responsiveness. Small Cap Value reported a Downside Deviation of 1.12, a Mean Deviation of 1.04, and a Semi Deviation of 0.80.
Small Cap Value has an alpha of 0.274, implying that it can generate a 0.274 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Small Cap's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation reflects how much Small Cap's price typically deviates from the mean over a given period.

What Drives Small Cap's Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence Small Cap's market volatility:

Industry Dynamics

Sector-level events can directly affect Small Cap's price stability. Regulatory changes, supply disruptions, or shifts in demand within Small Cap's industry may create volatility even when the broader market is calm. Competitive dynamics and industry consolidation can also amplify price swings for companies like Small Cap.

Political and Economic Environment

Macroeconomic conditions and policy decisions shape the backdrop for Small Cap's price movements. Interest rate changes, trade policy shifts, and fiscal legislation can all alter investor sentiment toward Small Cap. During periods of economic expansion, Small Cap's price tends to benefit from broader market optimism, while downturns can amplify selling pressure.

Small Cap's Company-Specific Factors

Volatility can also stem from events unique to Small Cap. Earnings surprises, management changes, product launches, or legal developments may trigger sharp price reactions in Small Cap's stock. Conversely, operational setbacks, guidance revisions, or data breaches can weigh on Small Cap's share price.

Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming a 90-day horizon the coefficient of variation of Small Cap is 26384.63. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.23 and standard deviation of 1.11. The mean deviation of Small Cap Value is currently at 0.8. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Small Cap historical daily return volatility represents how much of Small Cap fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund reported 1.109% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial has volatility of 0.7886% on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Small Mutual Fund performing well and Small Cap Mutual Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. Risk-adjusted metrics allow investors to compare Small Cap's efficiency and downside exposure against peers in a more meaningful way. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Volatility for Small Cap reflects NAV dispersion and exposure stability across disclosure periods. Range expansion increases sensitivity to market stress conditions.

Inputs for Small Cap Value come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 10th, 2026

Small Cap Investment Opportunity

Small Cap Value currently shows materially higher return volatility than Dow Jones Industrial, with a relative multiple of about 1.41. The higher-risk profile should usually be reviewed beside Sharpe Ratio, downside risk, and catalyst strength before the position is sized up.You can use Small Cap Value to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. This directional read frames the latest price swing through a simple momentum and follow-through lens. It is most useful when combined with broader risk controls and position-sizing discipline. a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Small Cap to be traded at $8.86 in 90 days.
Very weak diversification
ASVIX currently posts a 0.59 correlation with DJI, indicating a Very weak diversification relationship for the active sample. The overlap area represents the portion of risk that may be diversified away when both instruments are held together and nothing else in the portfolio changes.

Small Cap Additional Risk Indicators

Secondary risk indicators for Small Cap Value can help investors evaluate exposure beyond standard deviation, beta, or one headline volatility measure. This is most useful when investors want to understand whether the current opportunity is being paid for with reasonable risk.

Small Cap Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading with Small Cap can help investors hedge some company-specific exposure by balancing a long view with an offsetting position. A disciplined pair strategy still requires monitoring because correlation can weaken when market regimes change.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Small Cap as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Small Cap's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Small Cap's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Small Cap Value.