Astor Longshort Fund Volatility
| ASTLX Fund | USD 13.26 0.01 0.08% |
Astor Long/short secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0282, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0282 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Astor Longshort Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Astor Long/short's Mean Deviation of 0.363, standard deviation of 0.6518, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0282
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| Negative Returns | ASTLX |
Based on monthly moving average Astor Long/short is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Astor Long/short by adding Astor Long/short to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Astor Long/short's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Astor Long/short Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Astor daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Astor's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Astor Long/short volatility.
Astor |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Astor Long/short. They may decide to buy additional shares of Astor Long/short at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Astor Mutual Fund
| 0.75 | ASPGX | Astor Star Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | ASTIX | Astor Long/short | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | ASTZX | Astor Long/short | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | CSPGX | Astor Star Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | PAALX | All Asset Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | PATRX | Pimco All Asset | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | PAAIX | All Asset Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | PALPX | Pimco All Asset | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | PASAX | All Asset Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | PASCX | All Asset Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | PAANX | Pimco All Asset | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | PAUPX | Pimco All Asset | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | PAUIX | Pimco All Asset | PairCorr |
Astor Long/short Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Astor Long/short's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Astor mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Astor mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Astor Long/short's beta of 0.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Astor Long/short mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Astor Longshort Fund exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.45 and kurtosis of 28.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astor Long/short's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astor Long/short's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Astor Long/short Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Astor Long/short correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Astor Long/short Volatility and Downside Risk
Astor standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Astor Long/short Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Astor Long/short fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Astor Long/short's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Astor Long/short's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Astor Long/short's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Astor Long/short's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Astor Long/short's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Astor Long/short's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Astor Long/short's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Astor Long/short Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Astor Long/short Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astor Long/short has a beta of 0.3925 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Astor Long/short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Astor Longshort Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astor Long/short or Astor sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astor Long/short's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astor fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Astor Longshort Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Astor Long/short Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Astor Long/short Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Astor Long/short is -3540.16. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.42 and standard deviation of 0.65. The mean deviation of Astor Longshort Fund is currently at 0.36. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Astor Long/short Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Astor Long/short historical daily return volatility represents how much of Astor Long/short fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.6518% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7029% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Related Correlations Analysis
| 0.85 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.75 | FARIX | ||
| 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.65 | JPDVX | ||
| 0.92 | 0.88 | 1.0 | 0.89 | 0.57 | HRIDX | ||
| 0.92 | 0.88 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 0.57 | HIIDX | ||
| 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.73 | HUDEX | ||
| 0.75 | 0.65 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.73 | TFCAX | ||
Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Astor Mutual Fund performing well and Astor Long/short Mutual Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Astor Long/short's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FARIX | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.07 | 3.57 | |||
| JPDVX | 0.59 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 13.93 | |||
| HRIDX | 0.67 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 1.29 | 6.08 | |||
| HIIDX | 0.66 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 1.33 | 6.19 | |||
| HUDEX | 0.55 | 0.01 | (0.01) | 0.09 | 0.62 | 1.08 | 2.73 | |||
| TFCAX | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
About Astor Long/short Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Astor Long/short or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Astor Long/short may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Astor's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Astor Long/short and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Astor Long/short fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Astor Long/short's volatility to invest better
Higher Astor Long/short's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Astor Long/short fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Astor Long/short fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Astor Long/short investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Astor Long/short's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Astor Long/short's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Astor Long/short Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.7 and is 1.08 times more volatile than Astor Longshort Fund. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Astor Long/short. You can use Astor Longshort Fund to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Astor Long/short to be traded at $13.92 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Astor Longshort Fund and DJI is 0.46 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astor Longshort Fund and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Astor Long/short Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Astor Long/short's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Astor Long/short's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Astor Long/short mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.363 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (3,540) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6518 | |||
| Variance | 0.4249 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Astor Long/short Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Astor Long/short as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Astor Long/short's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Astor Long/short's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Astor Longshort Fund.
Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund
Astor Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Long/short security.
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