Applied Materials (Germany) Volatility

AP2 Stock  EUR 297.00  5.90  2.03%   
Applied Materials remains associated with an above-average volatility profile over the chosen period. Applied Materials posts a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of 0.16, demonstrating favorable reward-to-risk behavior over the last 3 months. There are 30 technical indicators affecting the current volatility pattern.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1588

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.63
  actual daily
32
68% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.58
  actual daily
11
89% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.16
  actual daily
12
88% of assets perform better
Latest disclosures for Applied Materials show a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of -1.6%, a Risk of 3.63, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1%. Monthly averages suggest Applied Materials is positioned around 12% of its historical performance band. Correlation characteristics influence diversification outcomes.
Key indicators related to Applied Materials' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
For options traders, Applied Materials' implied volatility surface provides a forward-looking estimate of future price dispersion. When implied volatility for Applied Materials is significantly above realized volatility, options premiums may be elevated relative to historical norms.
  

Volatility Strategy

Applied Materials return movement contributes differently across allocation frameworks. Current statistical measures show total volatility near 3.63% with a beta coefficient of -0.26, indicating sensitivity relative to the broader market benchmark. Risk-adjusted efficiency, represented by a Sharpe ratio of 0.16, evaluates return per unit of total risk. An alpha value of 0.4 reflects performance relative to systematic market exposure. Expected return estimates near 0.58% are derived from historical distribution modeling and help frame forward-looking return assumptions within a portfolio context. Valuation adjustments may drive price swings.

Main indicators related to Applied Materials' market risk premium analysis include:

 Beta
-0.26
 Alpha
0.4
 Risk
3.63
 Sharpe Ratio
0.16
 Expected Return
0.58

Moving together with Applied Stock

  0.760AK Aramark HoldingsPairCorr
  0.75RMY Ramsay Health CarePairCorr
  0.87AUS AT S AustriaPairCorr
  0.77CWW Commonwealth BankPairCorr
  0.9TXG TerexPairCorr
  0.85BREA BANCO BRANDESCO SPADRPairCorr
  0.7161B HEIMSTADEN AB PRSHSPairCorr
  0.79DLS Delta Electronics PublicPairCorr
  0.89FAC Falcon Oil GasPairCorr
  0.8737C CNH Industrial NVPairCorr
  0.88TEY TERADYNEPairCorr
  0.84NEN0 Renesas ElectronicsPairCorr

Moving against Applied Stock

  0.717710 Sharplink,PairCorr
  0.5888S1 Sound Energy PLC SplitPairCorr
  0.31TLIK TELES InformationstechPairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

Applied Materials market-relative volatility is reflected in its beta of -0.26. This value results from regression analysis against benchmark returns. Total dispersion currently approximates 3.63%.Applied Materials has shown return movement that ranges from typical to sharp depending on market conditions. Current dispersion statistics include standard deviation near 3.51%. Equity volatility can rise when analyst revisions or guidance changes shift expectations quickly.
Check current 90 days Applied Materials correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.40   β-0.2551
3 Months Beta |Analyze Applied Materials Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Applied Materials correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

The standard deviation of Applied prices measures volatility as the average daily spread from the mean over your selected horizon. High standard deviation implies high volatility; low standard deviation implies price stability.
Standard Deviation
    
  3.63  
For a complete risk picture of Applied Materials, investors should examine both standard deviation (upside risk proxy) and downside deviation or semi-deviation of Applied Materials' returns (downside risk proxy). Latest disclosures for Applied Materials show a Downside Deviation of 3.16, a Downside Variance of 9.97, and a Maximum Drawdown of 17.20.

Stock Volatility Analysis

Understanding Applied Materials volatility allows investors to better quantify the risk of holding Applied Materials' stock. Volatility metrics help portfolio managers set stop-losses and size positions appropriately for Applied Materials.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. Applied Materials Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming a 90-day horizon Applied Materials has a beta of -0.2551 . This suggests that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Applied Materials tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Applied Materials is likely to outperform the market.
Both systematic and unsystematic risks influence Applied Materials. Market-wide movements drive the former, while company or sector-specific developments drive the latter. Beta estimates market responsiveness. Latest disclosures for Applied Materials show a Downside Deviation of 3.16, a Mean Deviation of 2.56, and a Semi Deviation of 2.75.
Applied Materials has an alpha of 0.4004, implying that it can generate a 0.4004 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Applied Materials' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation reflects how much Applied Materials' price typically deviates from the mean over a given period.

What Drives Applied Materials' Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence Applied Materials' market volatility:

Industry Dynamics

Sector-level events can directly affect Applied Materials' price stability. Regulatory changes, supply disruptions, or shifts in demand within Applied Materials' industry may create volatility even when the broader market is calm. Competitive dynamics and industry consolidation can also amplify price swings for companies like Applied Materials.

Political and Economic Environment

Macroeconomic conditions and policy decisions shape the backdrop for Applied Materials' price movements. Interest rate changes, trade policy shifts, and fiscal legislation can all alter investor sentiment toward Applied Materials. During periods of economic expansion, Applied Materials' price tends to benefit from broader market optimism, while downturns can amplify selling pressure.

Applied Materials' Company-Specific Factors

Volatility can also stem from events unique to Applied Materials. Earnings surprises, management changes, product launches, or legal developments may trigger sharp price reactions in Applied Materials' stock. Conversely, operational setbacks, guidance revisions, or data breaches can weigh on Applied Materials' share price.

Stock Risk Measures

Assuming a 90-day horizon the coefficient of variation of Applied Materials is 629.7. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 13.21 and standard deviation of 3.63. The mean deviation of Applied Materials is currently at 2.67. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2551
σ
Overall volatility
3.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Stock Return Volatility

Applied Materials historical daily return volatility represents how much of Applied Materials stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company reported 3.634% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial has volatility of 0.7886% on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

HLG96W
3QD96W
HLG3QD
HLG6GC
PUP04GC
96W6GC
  

High negative correlations

3QD4GC
HLG4GC
96W4GC
TM596W
TM5HLG
TM5TWY

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Applied Stock performing well and Applied Materials Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. Without reviewing risk-adjusted indicators, investors may overweight recent returns and underweight the volatility required to achieve them. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Volatility for Applied Materials measures return dispersion and uncertainty over time. Volatility contraction can precede expansion under certain regimes. Applied Materials has a market cap of 235.7 B, P/E of 11.14, ROE of 38.86%.

For Applied Materials, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 5th, 2026

Applied Materials Investment Opportunity

Measured over the selected horizon, Applied Materials carries roughly 4.59 times the return volatility of Dow Jones Industrial. Used properly, this comparison helps investors decide whether the extra volatility is strategic or simply uncompensated risk.You can use Applied Materials to enhance the returns of your portfolios. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It works best as a directional cue rather than as a standalone forecast. an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Applied Materials to be traded at €356.4 in 90 days.
Modest diversification
AP2 currently posts a 0.28 correlation with DJI, indicating a Modest diversification relationship for the active sample. The cleaner interpretation is to review correlation beside volatility, expected return, and the role each holding plays in the portfolio.

Applied Materials Additional Risk Indicators

Looking at additional risk metrics for Applied Materials helps investors judge how the position may behave under different market and portfolio conditions. A disciplined risk review helps investors decide whether exposure should be maintained, reduced, or offset elsewhere in the portfolio.

Applied Materials Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading with Applied Materials can help investors hedge some company-specific exposure by balancing a long view with an offsetting position. The advantage is that adverse movement in one leg may be partly offset by the other when correlation and thesis alignment hold.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Applied Materials as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Applied Materials' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Applied Materials' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Applied Materials.

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