First Trust Active Etf Volatility

AFSM Etf  USD 32.54  -0.41  -1.24%   
Across the designated horizon, First Trust Active continues to post a minimal volatility profile. First Trust Active posts a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of -0.0407, reflecting poor reward-to-volatility behavior over the last 3 months. The current setup includes 23 technical indicators relevant to risk behavior.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0407

High ReturnsBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsAFSM
First Trust Active posted a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.05%, a Risk of 1.12, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.04% for the reported period. Monthly data shows First Trust is not tracking at its maximum return potential. Including it in a well-diversified portfolio can maximize its risk-adjusted contribution.
Key indicators related to First Trust's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
First Trust's beta measures how much First Trust's price moves relative to the broad market. Combined with total volatility, beta helps investors understand whether First Trust's risk is primarily market-driven or company-specific.

Volatility Strategy

Volatility in First Trust Active contributes to allocation risk depending on correlation. Current statistical measures show total volatility near 1.12% with a beta coefficient of 1.18, indicating sensitivity relative to the broader market benchmark. Risk-adjusted efficiency, represented by a Sharpe ratio of -0.0407, evaluates return per unit of total risk. An alpha value of 0.0318 reflects performance relative to systematic market exposure. Expected return estimates near -0.0457% are derived from historical distribution modeling and help frame forward-looking return assumptions within a portfolio context. Premium/discount behavior may widen during stress.

Main indicators related to First Trust's market risk premium analysis include:

 Beta
1.18
 Alpha
0.0318
 Risk
1.12
 Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
 Expected Return
-0.05

Moving together with First Etf

  0.91VB Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.91IJR iShares Core SAMPPPairCorr
  0.96IWM iShares Russell 2000PairCorr
  0.96VRTIX Vanguard Russell 2000PairCorr
  0.96VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000PairCorr
  0.78FNDA Schwab Fundamental SmallPairCorr
  0.8SPSM SPDR Portfolio SAMPPPairCorr
  0.94DFAS Dimensional Small CapPairCorr
  0.91VIOO Vanguard SAMPP SmallPairCorr
  0.96PRFZ Invesco FTSE RAFIPairCorr
  0.91PFFL ETRACS 2xMonthly PayPairCorr
  0.7GIGL Goldman Sachs ETFPairCorr
  0.68URA Global X UraniumPairCorr
  0.76BA BoeingPairCorr
  0.84HD Home DepotPairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

First Trust Active relative market sensitivity is quantified by its beta value of 1.18. This regression-derived coefficient reflects systematic risk. Total return variability is about 1.12%.This summary describes how First Trust Active has moved rather than why it moved. Standard deviation is near 1.09% and downside deviation is near 0.0%. ETF dispersion can change when liquidity shifts in the underlying holdings or when spreads widen. Premium/discount to NAV is often expressed as (Price − NAV) / NAV × 100 when NAV is available.
Check current 90 days First Trust correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.03   β1.18
3 Months Beta |Analyze First Trust Active Demand Trend
Check current 90 days First Trust correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

Standard deviation of First is a key measure of price volatility, reflecting the average daily deviation from the mean over the selected time period. High standard deviation means higher volatility; low standard deviation means stability.
Standard Deviation
    
  1.12  
For investors in First Trust, understanding the difference between standard deviation and downside deviation is important. Standard deviation measures total volatility; downside deviation measures only the loss risk in First Trust's returns. First Trust Active posted a Maximum Drawdown of 5.57 for the reported period.

Etf Volatility Analysis

Analyzing First Trust volatility is essential for any investor seeking to manage risk exposure effectively. Sharp swings in First Trust's etf price during volatile periods can trigger margin calls or forced exits.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. First Trust Active Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 1.1805 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform.
First Trust remains sensitive to broader etf market conditions in addition to company or sector-specific developments. Portfolio diversification mitigates only part of this exposure. First Trust Active posted a Mean Deviation of 0.85 and a Standard Deviation of 1.09 for the reported period.
First Trust Active has an alpha of 0.0318, implying that it can generate a 0.0318 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
First Trust's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation reflects how much First Trust's price typically deviates from the mean over a given period.

What Drives First Trust's Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence First Trust's market volatility:

Industry Dynamics

Sector-level events can directly affect First Trust's price stability. Regulatory changes, supply disruptions, or shifts in demand within First Trust's industry may create volatility even when the broader market is calm. Competitive dynamics and industry consolidation can also amplify price swings for companies like First Trust.

Political and Economic Environment

Macroeconomic conditions and policy decisions shape the backdrop for First Trust's price movements. Interest rate changes, trade policy shifts, and fiscal legislation can all alter investor sentiment toward First Trust. During periods of economic expansion, First Trust's price tends to benefit from broader market optimism, while downturns can amplify selling pressure.

First Trust's Company-Specific Factors

Volatility can also stem from events unique to First Trust. Earnings surprises, management changes, product launches, or legal developments may trigger sharp price reactions in First Trust's stock. Conversely, operational setbacks, guidance revisions, or data breaches can weigh on First Trust's share price.

Etf Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of First Trust is -2457.22. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.26 and standard deviation of 1.12. The mean deviation of First Trust Active is currently at 0.87. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Etf Return Volatility

First Trust historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Trust etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF reported 1.1234% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial has volatility of 0.8255% on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

ARPDVYA
ITDDVMAX
EMCRDVYA
ITDDSURE
DVYAVMAX
EMCRARP
  

High negative correlations

FDNIDVYA
ARPFDNI
FDNIVMAX
EMCRFDNI
QVOYFDNI
ITDDFDNI

First Trust Constituents Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between First Etf performing well and First Trust ETF doing well as a business compared to the competition. A thorough review of First Trust's risk-adjusted indicators provides a clearer picture of whether returns are being earned efficiently. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Volatility for First Trust reflects price dispersion, spread stability, and underlying basket liquidity conditions. Return variability informs risk budgeting and diversification impact.

The analytics block for First Trust Active relies on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026

First Trust Investment Opportunity

Measured over the selected horizon, First Trust Active carries roughly 1.35 times the return volatility of Dow Jones Industrial. Used properly, this comparison helps investors decide whether the extra volatility is strategic or simply uncompensated risk.You can use First Trust Active to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It is most useful when combined with broader risk controls and position-sizing discipline. a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of First Trust to be traded at $31.56 in 90 days.
Very poor diversification
The correlation between AFSM and DJI is 0.88, which Macroaxis classifies as Very poor diversification for the selected horizon. This matters because lower overlap can improve diversification, while higher overlap leaves more of the same risk inside the portfolio.

First Trust Additional Risk Indicators

Secondary risk indicators for First Trust Active can help investors evaluate exposure beyond standard deviation, beta, or one headline volatility measure. This is most useful when investors want to understand whether the current opportunity is being paid for with reasonable risk.

First Trust Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading with First Trust can help investors hedge some company-specific exposure by balancing a long view with an offsetting position. A disciplined pair strategy still requires monitoring because correlation can weaken when market regimes change.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Trust as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Trust's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Trust's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Trust Active.

More Resources for First Etf Analysis

Understanding First Trust Active typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. First Trust's financial ratios translate raw accounting data into comparable profitability and efficiency signals. Selected reports below provide context for First Etf:
Review Trending Equities to understand diversified portfolio construction. Such insight adds context to allocation decisions within a diversified portfolio. This suggests a position in First Trust Active within the portfolio mix. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
First Trust analysis should be read alongside other portfolio and risk tools before reallocating capital. A thorough First Trust review pairs this page with the quantitative and comparative resources listed below. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
First Trust Active's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Value and price for First Trust are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Evaluation typically reviews profitability, growth, balance sheet strength, industry position, and market signals. First Trust market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.