First Quantum Valuation

FM Stock  CAD 33.51  1.02  3.14%   
Currently, First Quantum appears to be overvalued. First Quantum Minerals has a latest Real Value of $29.65 per share. The latest price of First Quantum is $33.51. Our model measures the value of First Quantum Minerals from evaluating First Quantum fundamentals such as Profit Margin of -0.01 %, current valuation of 34.81 B, and Shares Outstanding of 828.19 M as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting First Quantum's valuation include:
 Price Book
1.7716
 Enterprise Value
34.8 B
 Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.0018
 Price Sales
5.2993
 Forward PE
27.1003
Overvalued
Today
33.51
Please note that First Quantum's price fluctuation is Low at this time. Calculation of the real value of First Quantum Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing First Quantum's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since First Quantum is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Stock. However, First Quantum's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  33.51 Real  29.65 Hype  33.26 Naive  28.84
Assessing the real value of First Quantum stock means looking beyond short-term price movements to its long-term earnings power. Intrinsic value for First Quantum is most commonly estimated through discounted cash flow modeling or earnings-based approaches.
29.65
Real Value
36.86
Upside
Understanding the full range of upside and downside possibilities for First Quantum Minerals supports better investment decisions. The contribution of First stock to portfolio performance goes beyond its current earnings power.
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.000.130.22
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9733.2636.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.5628.8432.13
Details
Comparing First Quantum's valuation across multiple methods provides a sanity check. If DCF and relative value analyses converge on a similar estimate, the conviction in First Quantum's fair value is correspondingly higher.
Cash is evolving in line with broader financial reporting trends. Last year, First Quantum recorded Cash of 716 Million. Per market data dated March 12, 2026, Accounts Payable is projected to contract toward approximately 394.6 M. In addition to that, Change To Account Receivables is projected to grow to approximately -453.1 M

First Quantum Cash

674.44 Million

First Quantum Total Value Analysis

From a capital-structure perspective, First Quantum Minerals is being framed with enterprise value of 34.81 B, market capitalization of 27.75 B, debt obligations near 5.91 B, and cash resources of 716 M. That snapshot should be treated as one valuation lens rather than as final proof of fair value because the interpretation can shift quickly when financing assumptions change.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
34.81 B
27.75 B
5.91 B
716 M

First Quantum Investor Information

About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Quantum Minerals has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2023. First Quantum completed a 5:1 stock split on 9th of August 2011. Operational scale and capital structure coherence define First Quantum Minerals financial characteristics. Operating returns remain positive, suggesting ongoing earnings capacity. Energy sector financial analysis often emphasizes cash flow coverage, commodity sensitivity, and capital expenditure discipline.

First Quantum Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. First Quantum has an asset utilization ratio of 20.75 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.21 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that First Quantum Minerals is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Quantum Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration First Quantum's profitability measurements, First Quantum's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess First Quantum's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
 First Reported
1996-12-31
 Previous Quarter
-47.4 M
 Current Value
25 M
 Quarterly Volatility
236.6 M
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Pretax Profit Margin is evolving in line with broader financial reporting trends. Last year, First Quantum recorded Pretax Profit Margin of 0.09. Per market data dated March 12, 2026, Operating Profit Margin is projected to grow to 0.19, whereas our analysis places Gross Profit near about 878.1 M following downward revisions.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.390.2784
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Profitability analysis for First Quantum Minerals works best when investors review the financial ratios and fundamental drivers that explain how efficiently the business converts revenue, assets, and operating inputs into earnings. These profitability indicators help investors judge how well First Quantum uses its assets to create earnings power and long-term shareholder value.

First Quantum Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing First Quantum's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose trend shifts in analyst expectations and compare EPS projections across timeframes. EPS is most informative when read together with margin stability and cash-flow conversion. EPS forecast analysis for First Quantum Minerals is useful, but investors should remember that consensus numbers often reflect a normalized estimate rather than a full reconstruction of every accounting detail. First Quantum is projected to generate 0.13 in earnings per share on 31st of March 2026. Future earnings-per-share expectations are often a key input when investors test valuation assumptions and momentum into the next quarter.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Quantum Ownership Allocation

Over half of First Quantum's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutions - which include mutual funds, pension funds, ETF sponsors, and asset managers - invest on behalf of millions of individuals and are required to disclose their holdings through periodic SEC filings, offering quarterly insight into ownership changes. Insider ownership stands at approximately 19% while institutional investors account for 52%, leaving 29% of the float in public hands.

First Quantum Profitability Analysis

The company reported revenue of 5.24 B. Net Loss for the year was -65 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.46 B.
Valuation analysis for First Quantum Minerals should be treated as an ongoing process rather than a one-time answer, especially when investors are trying to understand how the market is pricing this stock. The practical goal is to understand how new information changes the valuation case, not to defend one static estimate after conditions move.

About First Quantum Valuation

First Quantum is a large-cap equity in Metals & Mining, Materials, Basic Materials categories. Cycle exposure impacts valuation range. First Quantum currently trades at P/E of 32.92, P/B of 1.77, P/S of 5.3.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for First Quantum Minerals is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.

More Resources for First Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in First Stock

First Quantum financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare First across valuation measures in a consistent way.