Canadian Solar Valuation

CSIQ Stock  USD 18.41  0.38  2.11%   
Currently, Canadian Solar appears to be overvalued. Canadian Solar has a last-minute Real Value of $16.79 per share. The last-minute price of Canadian Solar is $18.41. Our model determines the value of Canadian Solar from analyzing Canadian Solar fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 6.84 B, return on equity of -0.0439, and Profit Margin of 0.0027 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Canadian Solar's valuation include:
 Price Book
0.4212
 Enterprise Value
6.8 B
 Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.5224
 Price Sales
0.209
 Forward PE
13.1926
Overvalued
Today
18.41
Please note that Canadian Solar's price fluctuation is Stable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Canadian Solar is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Canadian Solar's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Canadian Solar's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 18.41, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.41 Real  16.79 Target  21.6 Hype  18.41 Naive  18.81
Canadian Solar intrinsic value reflects its underlying financial performance, competitive position, and long-term growth potential. Methods used to estimate Canadian Solar's intrinsic value include discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings multiples, and asset-based approaches.
16.79
Real Value
21.56
Upside
The full valuation picture for Canadian Solar requires examining both the upside case and potential downside risks. Integrating Canadian stock into a portfolio strategy hinges on an accurate assessment of its fair value range.
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-1.07-0.6679-0.2659
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6418.4123.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.0418.8123.58
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.6621.6023.98
Details
No single valuation method is sufficient for Canadian Solar. Using multiple approaches - DCF, EV/EBITDA, P/E multiples, and dividend discount models - reduces the risk of anchoring to a flawed single estimate.
Cash is projected to change by approximately 4.76% year over year. In the prior fiscal year, Cash was reported at 2.59 Billion. As of yesterday, Accounts Payable is positioned to expand toward approximately 1.3 B, whereas Change To Account Receivables is moving lower toward slightly above -397.5 M.

Canadian Solar Cash

2.72 Billion

Canadian Solar Total Value Analysis

From a capital-structure perspective, Canadian Solar is being framed with enterprise value of 6.84 B, market capitalization of 1.23 B, debt obligations near 5.91 B, and cash resources of 1.05 B. That snapshot should be treated as one valuation lens rather than as final proof of fair value because the interpretation can shift quickly when financing assumptions change.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.84 B
1.23 B
5.91 B
1.05 B

Canadian Solar Investor Information

About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canadian Solar has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.16. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.19. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Evaluating liquidity trends and earnings sustainability, Canadian Solar shows constructive financial organization. Operating returns remain positive, suggesting ongoing earnings capacity. In technology businesses, recurring revenue quality, R&D investment discipline, and operating margin expansion are key durability indicators.

Canadian Solar Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Canadian connotes not a very effective usage of assets in March.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Canadian Solar Profitability Analysis

Considering Canadian Solar's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Canadian Solar may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in April. Profitability indicators assess Canadian Solar's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
 First Reported
2004-03-31
 Previous Quarter
7.2 M
 Current Value
M
 Quarterly Volatility
39.5 M
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is projected to change by approximately 4.76% year over year. In the prior fiscal year, Gross Profit was reported at 1.15 Billion. As of yesterday, Gross Profit Margin is positioned to expand toward 0.22, even as conditions shift, Pretax Profit Margin is positioned to expand toward -0.02 .
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.220.19
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Profitability analysis for Canadian Solar works best when investors review the financial ratios and fundamental drivers that explain how efficiently the business converts revenue, assets, and operating inputs into earnings. These profitability indicators help investors judge how well Canadian Solar uses its assets to create earnings power and long-term shareholder value.

Canadian Solar Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Canadian Solar's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose trend shifts in analyst expectations and compare EPS projections across timeframes. EPS is most informative when read together with margin stability and cash-flow conversion. EPS forecast analysis for Canadian Solar is useful, but investors should remember that consensus numbers often reflect a normalized estimate rather than a full reconstruction of every accounting detail. Canadian Solar is projected to generate -0.6679 in earnings per share on 31st of March 2026. Future earnings-per-share expectations are often a key input when investors test valuation assumptions and momentum into the next quarter.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Canadian Solar Ownership Allocation

Canadian Solar reports a substantial amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Institutional investors hold approximately 42% of Canadian Solar's outstanding shares, with insiders holding 30% and 28% in the public float.

Canadian Solar Profitability Analysis

The company reported previous year's revenue of 5.99 B. Net Loss for the year was -77.86 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B.

Valuation Framework, Methodology & Assumptions

Canadian Solar is a mid-cap equity in Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment, Information Technology, Nasdaq Industrial categories. Multiples are reviewed relative to comparable companies. Canadian Solar currently trades at P/E of 14.22, P/B of 0.42, P/S of 0.21.

Inputs for Canadian Solar come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Valuation outputs are model-derived and depend on published assumptions and reference inputs.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors

Canadian Solar Growth Indicators

A growth thesis around Canadian Solar should be tested carefully because strong valuation often reflects confidence that the business can keep compounding faster than peers. Used properly, growth analysis helps investors separate durable compounding from optimism that may already be fully priced in.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3
Forward Price Earnings13.1926

Canadian Solar Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation work on Canadian Solar becomes more reliable when investors compare several lenses at once, including market value, enterprise value. revenue scale, and expected cash-flow durability. The better valuation questions are comparative: what is the market paying for each dollar of revenue, profit, and asset base, and is that premium justified?

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