Ast Spacemobile Valuation

ASTS Stock  USD 111.34  6.56  6.26%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Ast Spacemobile shows a prevailing Real Value of $81.86 per share. The current price of the firm is $111.34. Our model approximates the value of Ast Spacemobile from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 278.01 M, operating margin of (5.41) %, and Return On Equity of -0.39 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ast Spacemobile's valuation include:
Price Book
25.4531
Enterprise Value
28.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(2.34)
Price Sales
2.1 K
Enterprise Value Revenue
1.7 K
Overvalued
Today
111.34
Please note that Ast Spacemobile's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ast Spacemobile is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ast Spacemobile's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Ast stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Ast Spacemobile. Since Ast Spacemobile is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ast Stock. However, Ast Spacemobile's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  111.34 Real  81.86 Target  81.64 Hype  111.38 Naive  116.91
The intrinsic value of Ast Spacemobile's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ast Spacemobile's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
81.86
Real Value
122.47
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ast Spacemobile helps investors to forecast how Ast stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ast Spacemobile more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ast Spacemobile's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.35-0.25-0.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.94111.38118.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
109.46116.91124.35
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
74.2981.6490.62
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ast Spacemobile's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ast Spacemobile's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ast Spacemobile's closest peers.

Ast Spacemobile Cash

682.22 Million

Ast Spacemobile Total Value Analysis

Ast Spacemobile is presently anticipated to have valuation of 28.65 B with market capitalization of 38.5 B, debt of 173 M, and cash on hands of 202.37 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ast Spacemobile fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
28.65 B
38.5 B
173 M
202.37 M

Ast Spacemobile Investor Information

About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.14. Ast Spacemobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Ast Spacemobile's historical financial statements, Ast Spacemobile is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in February.

Ast Spacemobile Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ast Spacemobile has an asset utilization ratio of 0.46 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.004628 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ast Spacemobile is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Ast Spacemobile Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Ast Spacemobile's financial statements, Ast Spacemobile may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess Ast Spacemobile's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2019-06-30
Previous Quarter
-99.4 M
Current Value
-122.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
42.6 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 4.2 M in 2026, despite the fact that Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to (129.82).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.360.46
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For Ast Spacemobile profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ast Spacemobile to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ast Spacemobile utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ast Spacemobile's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ast Spacemobile over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Ast Spacemobile Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Ast Spacemobile is estimated to be -0.253275 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.3525 to a high of -0.1225. Ast Spacemobile's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.14. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ast Spacemobile is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ast Spacemobile is projected to generate -0.253275 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Ast Spacemobile earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ast Spacemobile EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ast Spacemobile's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ast Spacemobile, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ast Spacemobile Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ast Spacemobile's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ast Spacemobile is estimated to be -0.253275 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.3525 to a high of -0.1225. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ast Spacemobile is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.35
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.253275
-0.12
Highest

Ast Spacemobile Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ast Spacemobile's value are higher than the current market price of the Ast Spacemobile stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ast Spacemobile is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ast Spacemobile's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1056.33%
0.0
-0.253275
-1.14

Ast Spacemobile Ownership Allocation

Ast Spacemobile holds a total of 278.01 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Ast Spacemobile outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ast Spacemobile Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.73 M.

About Ast Spacemobile Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ast Spacemobile's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Ast Spacemobile based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ast Spacemobile. We calculate exposure to Ast Spacemobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ast Spacemobile's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitM4.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin(136.66)(129.82)
Operating Profit Margin(63.19)(60.03)
Net Loss(78.11)(74.21)
Gross Profit Margin 0.46  0.36 

Ast Spacemobile Current Valuation Indicators

Ast Spacemobile's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Ast Spacemobile's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ast Spacemobile, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ast Spacemobile's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ast Spacemobile's worth.

Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis

When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.