Vanguard Target Retirement Fund Technical Analysis
| VTWNX Fund | USD 27.70 -0.07 -0.25% |
According to pricing data from the 12th of March 2026, VANGUARD TARGET trades at 27.70 per share. Quantitative signals reflect Semi Deviation of 0.2544, risk adjusted performance of 0.0337, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1506.19. Volume-adjusted indicators are evaluated relative to historical ranges. Current technical signals are evaluated against industry dispersion.
VANGUARD TARGET Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as VANGUARD, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to VANGUARDVANGUARD |
VANGUARD TARGET 'What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Vanguard Target Retirement gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether VANGUARD TARGET's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/12/2025 |
| 03/12/2026 |
Starting with 0.00 in VANGUARD TARGET on December 12, 2025 and exiting today would produce 0.00 in total gains. That corresponds to a 0.0% net return in VANGUARD TARGET overall over 90 days. VANGUARD TARGET has comparable peers such as VANGUARD TARGET, Vanguard Target, VANGUARD HEALTH, T ROWE, VANGUARD TARGET, T ROWE, and T Rowe. Peer context helps frame relative positioning. The fund invests in a mix of Vanguard mutual funds according to an asset allocation strategy designed for investors plan... More
Upside and Downside Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Overview
These indicators describe how VANGUARD TARGET momentum evolves across recent price ranges. They compare current price to recent trend and sentiment readings.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3096 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.47 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4031 |
Market Risk Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Overview
Risk measures here provide context on VANGUARD TARGET's return distribution and drawdown behavior. The metrics rely on historical prices to describe variability over time.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0337 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0143 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0949 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.031 |
Mean reversion opportunities in VANGUARD TARGET's arise when market prices disconnect from fundamental anchors such as earnings, book value, or historical price-to-earnings multiples.
VANGUARD TARGET Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0337 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.041 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2092 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2544 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.3096 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1506.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2793 | |||
| Variance | 0.078 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0143 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0949 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.031 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.47 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4031 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0958 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0647 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.23 | |||
| Skewness | -0.61 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.26 |
Vanguard Target Backtested Returns
VANGUARD TARGET remains characterized by a very low volatility profile within the selected investment span. It records an Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0859, indicating risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Volatility modeling revealed twenty-seven technical measures impacting risk exposure. Please review metrics such as Semi Deviation of 0.2544, risk-adjusted performance of 0.0337, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1506.19 to assess internal risk calibration. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which conveys relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, VANGUARD TARGET's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding VANGUARD TARGET is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.42 |
Average predictability
Vanguard Target Retirement exhibits average predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between VANGUARD TARGET time series from 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026 and from 26th of January 2026 to 12th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of Vanguard Target may be projected. A serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current VANGUARD TARGET price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
This technical analysis view for VANGUARD TARGET focuses on price, volume, and trend behavior. Typical tools include moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, and price correlations.
Vanguard Target Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Vanguard Target volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About VANGUARD TARGET Technical Analysis
Technical analysis of VANGUARD TARGET focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Oscillator extremes can precede mean reversion under certain regimes. 
Raphi Shpitalnik · Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Vanguard Target Retirement is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.
VANGUARD Mutual Fund is Curated By:
Raphi Shpitalnik · Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardVANGUARD TARGET Technical Indicators
A technical review of Vanguard Target Retirement can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0337 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.041 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2092 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2544 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.3096 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1506.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2793 | |||
| Variance | 0.078 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0143 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0949 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.031 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.47 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4031 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0958 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0647 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.23 | |||
| Skewness | -0.61 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.26 |
Vanguard Target One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, Vanguard Target Retirement has an One Year Return of 11.726%. This is 93.5% higher than that of the Vanguard family and significantly higher than that of the Target-Date 2020 category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the fund.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.VANGUARD TARGET March 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of Vanguard Target Retirement can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 27.70 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 27.70 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.04 |