Vanguard Target Retirement Fund Technical Analysis
| VTTHX Fund | USD 26.81 -0.42 -1.54% |
As of the 27th of March, VANGUARD TARGET reflects a market price of 26.81 per share. Current technical metrics show Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.03, coefficient of variation of -2,631, and Variance of 0.3932. Technical analytics evaluate momentum, liquidity, and volatility relationships. Current statistics are evaluated within a broader sector context.
VANGUARD TARGET Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as VANGUARD, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to VANGUARDVANGUARD |
What-If Analysis
What-if analysis for Vanguard Target Retirement is essentially a historical sensitivity test that shows how changes in the investment horizon could have altered realized return, drawdown, and timing outcomes. Valuation should still be reviewed through market value, enterprise value, revenue scale, and balance-sheet quality. The point is not to predict the future from one chart, but to understand how sensitive the trade has been to timing and holding assumptions.
| 12/27/2025 |
| 03/27/2026 |
A 0.00 entry into VANGUARD TARGET on December 27, 2025 held to the present would generate 0.00 in net gains. The outcome is a 0.0% cumulative return in VANGUARD TARGET in aggregate over the 90 day interval. The competitive set for VANGUARD TARGET includes VANGUARD TARGET, VANGUARD TARGET, Vanguard Target, VANGUARD TARGET, Vanguard Target, VANGUARD TARGET, and Vanguard Small. The fund invests in a mix of Vanguard mutual funds according to an asset allocation strategy designed for investors plan... More
Momentum Range Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Dashboard
For VANGUARD TARGET, these indicators describe the distribution of price movement across recent upside and downside ranges. Trading data across multiple sessions provides the basis for all values shown.
| Information Ratio | 0.0683 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.33 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8145 |
Market Risk Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Summary
VANGUARD TARGET's risk profile is reflected through volatility and return variability measures. The dataset reflects available inputs without directional implication.| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.03 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0144 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0241 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.05 |
The mean reversion effect in VANGUARD TARGET is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals. Such deviations have sometimes corrected when the initial catalyst fades, though timing remains uncertain. The degree to which VANGUARD TARGET's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.03 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.04 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4728 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -2,631 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6271 | |||
| Variance | 0.3932 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0683 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0144 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0241 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.05 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.33 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8145 | |||
| Skewness | -0.57 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4834 |
Vanguard Target Backtested Returns
VANGUARD TARGET maintains a very low volatility profile during the selected period. It records an Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0621, indicating negative risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Volatility modeling revealed twenty-one technical measures impacting risk exposure. Please examine metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of -0.03, coefficient of variation of -2,631, and Variance of 0.3932 to confirm alignment between technical signals and risk metrics. The fund maintains a beta of 0.63, which signifies generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. As returns on the market increase, VANGUARD TARGET's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding VANGUARD TARGET is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
The autocorrelation profile for Vanguard Target Retirement registers very good reverse predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Vanguard Target's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current VANGUARD TARGET price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Vanguard Target Retirement has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.26 |
This technical view for VANGUARD TARGET centers on price movement and volume signals. The structure incorporates trend and momentum indicators.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Vanguard Target volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of VANGUARD TARGET focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Moving averages smooth short-term dispersion and highlight trend alignment.
Data shown for Vanguard Target Retirement is aggregated from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Source publication timing can introduce delays.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardVANGUARD TARGET Technical Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Vanguard Target Retirement help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.03 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.04 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4728 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -2,631 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6271 | |||
| Variance | 0.3932 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0683 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0144 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0241 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.05 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.33 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8145 | |||
| Skewness | -0.57 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4834 |
Vanguard Target One Year Return
At 14.0015%, VANGUARD TARGET's One Year Return is 131.05% higher than the Vanguard family and notably higher than the Target-Date 2035 category. Compared to all United States funds, VANGUARD TARGET's reading is notably higher than the aggregate.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.March 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Vanguard Target Retirement help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 26.81 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 26.81 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.21 |