Vanguard Target Retirement Fund Technical Analysis
| VTINX Fund | USD 13.80 0.08 0.58% |
According to pricing data from the 24th of March, VANGUARD TARGET trades at 13.80 per share. Quantitative signals reflect Semi Deviation of 0.352, coefficient of variation of 62895.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.01. Volume-adjusted indicators are evaluated relative to historical ranges. Current technical signals are evaluated against industry dispersion.
VANGUARD TARGET Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as VANGUARD, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to VANGUARDVANGUARD |
What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Vanguard Target Retirement gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review provides context for deciding whether VANGUARD TARGET's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/24/2025 |
| 03/24/2026 |
If you invested 0.00 in VANGUARD TARGET on December 24, 2025 and closed the position today, you would produce 0.00 in aggregate gains. The net result is a 0.0% return on investment in VANGUARD TARGET overall over the 90 day window. Price and volume history from exchange records underpins the dataset. Related fund peers for VANGUARD TARGET include VANGUARD TARGET, VANGUARD TARGET, Vanguard Health, VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY, T ROWE, T Rowe, and AMERICAN FUNDS. The fund invests in a mix of Vanguard mutual funds according to an asset allocation strategy designed for investors curr... More
Upside and Downside Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Signals
Recent price range behavior for VANGUARD TARGET is summarized through upside and downside momentum indicators. All values are based on available data and provided as reference information.
| Downside Deviation | 0.4321 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1812 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.71 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4313 |
Market Risk Indicators for VANGUARD TARGET Overview
Return variability and drawdown behavior for VANGUARD TARGET are summarized through these risk indicators. The metrics rely on historical prices to describe variability over time.| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.01 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0112 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0172 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.03 |
Experienced market participants anticipate that VANGUARD TARGET's price will even out over time. Periods when VANGUARD TARGET's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis. Experienced VANGUARD TARGET's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.01 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.02 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2319 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.352 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4321 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 62895.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3224 | |||
| Variance | 0.1039 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1812 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0112 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0172 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.03 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.71 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4313 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1867 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1239 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.24 | |||
| Skewness | -0.78 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Vanguard Target Backtested Returns
VANGUARD TARGET remains characterized by a very low volatility profile within the selected investment span. It records an Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0349, indicating negative risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Volatility modeling revealed twenty-seven technical measures impacting risk exposure. Please review metrics such as Semi Deviation of 0.352, coefficient of variation of 62895.69, and risk-adjusted performance of -0.01 to assess internal risk calibration. The fund retains a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of 0.3, which conveys generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. With a sub-1 beta, VANGUARD TARGET typically participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while often limiting downside exposure.
Auto-correlation | -0.55 |
Good reverse predictability
The autocorrelation profile for Vanguard Target Retirement registers good reverse predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Vanguard Target's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current VANGUARD TARGET price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Vanguard Target Retirement has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
The model reviews VANGUARD TARGET using price movement and volume trends. The information reflects available market data inputs.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Vanguard Target volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of VANGUARD TARGET focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Oscillator extremes can precede mean reversion under certain regimes.
For Vanguard Target Retirement, this section uses fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardizes the results for cross-period comparison. Intraday timing differences may exist.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardVANGUARD TARGET Technical Indicators
Investors following Vanguard Target Retirement often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.01 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.02 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2319 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.352 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4321 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 62895.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3224 | |||
| Variance | 0.1039 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1812 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0112 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0172 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.03 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.71 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4313 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1867 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1239 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.24 | |||
| Skewness | -0.78 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Vanguard Target One Year Return
At 10.6053%, VANGUARD TARGET's One Year Return is 75.0% higher than the Vanguard family and notably higher than the Target-Date Retirement category. Compared to all United States funds, VANGUARD TARGET's reading is notably higher than the aggregate.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.March 24, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Investors following Vanguard Target Retirement often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 13.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 13.80 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 |