Toews Tactical Defensive Fund Technical Analysis

TTDAX Fund  USD 10.53  -0.03  -0.28%   
As of the 13th of March 2026, TOEWS TACTICAL trades at 10.53 per share. Key technical indicators include Variance of 0.4496, risk adjusted performance of -0.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of -2,311. The technical model evaluates historical price movement, trading volume, and volatility patterns to quantify trend strength. Current values are evaluated relative to sector peers and historical ranges.

TOEWS TACTICAL Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TOEWS, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TOEWS
  
TOEWS TACTICAL's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Note that TOEWS TACTICAL's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Analysis often considers earnings, revenue quality, fundamentals, technical signals, competition, and analyst coverage. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.

What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on Toews Tactical Defensive gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether TOEWS TACTICAL's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
0.00
12/13/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/13/2026
0.00
If you invested  0.00  in TOEWS TACTICAL on December 13, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in total gains. That corresponds to a 0.0% return on investment in TOEWS TACTICAL overall over 90 days. TOEWS TACTICAL is related to or competes with JAMES SMALL, DOUBLELINE STRATEGIC, Simt Mid, SIMT MID, SIMT MID, American Beacon, and GUGGENHEIM LARGE. Peer context helps frame relative positioning. The funds adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing primarily in derivative instruments inclu... More

TOEWS TACTICAL Upside and Downside Indicators Overview

Upside and downside indicators for TOEWS TACTICAL summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the fund. They compare current price to recent trend and sentiment readings.

TOEWS TACTICAL Market Risk Indicators Overview

Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for TOEWS TACTICAL. The metrics rely on historical prices to describe variability over time.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TOEWS TACTICAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8810.5611.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9310.6111.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8010.4911.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6210.8111.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TOEWS TACTICAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TOEWS TACTICAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Technical Indicators

Toews Tactical Defensive Backtested Returns

TOEWS TACTICAL appears to exhibit a very low volatility profile over the selected 3 months investment horizon. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of -0.0377, signaling negative dispersion-adjusted returns across 3 months. Quantitative evaluation found twenty-one metrics shaping volatility behavior. Please review metrics such as Variance of 0.4496, risk-adjusted performance of -0.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of -2,311 to confirm whether our risk estimates align with your expectations. The fund has a beta of 0.68, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, TOEWS TACTICAL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding TOEWS TACTICAL is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

The autocorrelation profile for Toews Tactical Defensive registers modest reverse predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Toews Tactical Defensive's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current TOEWS TACTICAL price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Toews Tactical Defensive has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01
TOEWS TACTICAL technical mutual fund analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. Typical tools include moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, and price correlations.
Technical analysis evaluates whether price behavior reflects available information and market structure. It studies recurring price patterns and trend conditions across cycles. More Info...

Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Toews Tactical Defensive volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators

Technical analysis of TOEWS TACTICAL focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Trend persistence provides context for directional stability. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Toews Tactical Defensive is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

TOEWS TACTICAL Technical Indicators

A technical review of Toews Tactical Defensive can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.

March 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

A technical review of Toews Tactical Defensive can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.