Timothy Plan Defensive Fund Technical Analysis
| TPDAX Fund | USD 18.70 -0.28 -1.48% |
As of the 19th of March, TIMOTHY PLAN trades at 18.70 per share. Key technical indicators include Coefficient Of Variation of 625.82, semi deviation of 1.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.129. The technical model evaluates historical price movement, trading volume, and volatility patterns to quantify trend strength. Current values are evaluated relative to sector peers and historical ranges.
TIMOTHY PLAN Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TIMOTHY, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TIMOTHYTIMOTHY |
What if' Analysis
Backtesting a what-if scenario on Timothy Plan Defensive helps investors see how the fund may have behaved if the position had been entered, held, or resized under different historical assumptions. The real value is perspective: it shows whether the thesis would have remained investable across different historical windows or depended too heavily on one favorable stretch.
| 12/19/2025 |
| 03/19/2026 |
A 0.00 position in TIMOTHY PLAN initiated on December 19, 2025 and held to today would record 0.00 in net gains. In total, that is a 0.0% total return in TIMOTHY PLAN on balance across 90 days. TIMOTHY PLAN is often compared with AB GLOBAL, NATIONWIDE GLOBAL, Legg Mason, Barings Global, KOPERNIK GLOBAL, and Dodge Global based on sector and business overlap. The list provides context for relative analysis. The fund will invest varying percentages of its total assets in Real Estate Investment Trusts, Commodities-based securit... More
Momentum Range Indicators for TIMOTHY PLAN Summary
This section highlights upside and downside signals that contextualize TIMOTHY PLAN price behavior. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2374 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.54 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.19 |
Market Risk Indicators for TIMOTHY PLAN Signals
Risk measures here provide context on TIMOTHY PLAN's return distribution and drawdown behavior. The signals are informational and describe volatility patterns.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.129 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2523 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.166 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3403 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIMOTHY PLAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.129 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3503 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6851 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 625.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9789 | |||
| Variance | 0.9582 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2374 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2523 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.166 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3403 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.54 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.65 | |||
| Skewness | -1.10 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.26 |
Timothy Plan Defensive Backtested Returns
TIMOTHY PLAN appears to exhibit a very low volatility profile over the selected 3 months investment horizon. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of 0.17, signaling dispersion-adjusted returns across 3 months. Quantitative evaluation found twenty-six metrics shaping volatility behavior. Please review metrics such as Coefficient Of Variation of 625.82, semi deviation of 1.08, and risk-adjusted performance of 0.129 to confirm whether our risk estimates align with your expectations. The fund has a beta of 0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, TIMOTHY PLAN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding TIMOTHY PLAN is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Timothy Plan Defensive exhibits modest predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between TIMOTHY PLAN time series from 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026 and from 2nd of February 2026 to 19th of March 2026. Persistent correlation between intervals suggests underlying momentum patterns in TIMOTHY PLAN that may carry forward. The measured coefficient of 0.55 means about 55.0% of TIMOTHY PLAN's recent price variance traces back to prior period behavior.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.12 |
Technical analysis for TIMOTHY PLAN evaluates price and volume patterns over time. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Timothy Plan Defensive volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of TIMOTHY PLAN focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Trend persistence provides context for directional stability. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.
Unless otherwise specified, data for Timothy Plan Defensive is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardTIMOTHY PLAN Technical Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Timothy Plan Defensive help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.129 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3503 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6851 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 625.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9789 | |||
| Variance | 0.9582 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2374 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2523 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.166 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3403 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.54 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.65 | |||
| Skewness | -1.10 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.26 |
March 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Timothy Plan Defensive help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 18.70 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 18.70 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.14 |