Transmedics Group Stock Technical Analysis

TMDX Stock  USD 129.61  -10.46  -7.47%   
As of the 9th of March, the last recorded price for TransMedics is 129.61 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect Variance of 8.26, coefficient of variation of -1,557, and Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.04. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.

TransMedics Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TransMedics, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TransMedicsTransMedics' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

TransMedics Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
157.55Strong Buy9Odds
TransMedics Group current and past analyst recommendations are summarized from multiple research sources. Average analyst consensus is included for context. Analyst ratings for TransMedics Group aggregate the views of institutional research teams who conduct deep fundamental analysis, build financial models, and speak directly with TransMedics's management. Consensus upgrades or downgrades often have meaningful short-term impact on the stock price.
TransMedics Analyst Advice Details
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.881
 Earnings Share
4.87
 Revenue Per Share
17.812
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.322
 Return On Assets
0.0725
The market value of TransMedics Group is measured differently than book value, which reflects TransMedics accounting equity. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Market price responds to sentiment, liquidity, and macro shifts, so gaps can appear. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
Note that TransMedics' intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Context can include financial performance, operating efficiency, market trends, and peer comparisons. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.

TransMedics 'What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on TransMedics Group gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether TransMedics' historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
0.00
12/09/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/09/2026
0.00
If you invested  0.00  in TransMedics on December 9, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in aggregate gains. The change equals a 0.0% return on investment in TransMedics on balance over a 90 day window.. TransMedics is related to or competes with Option Care, Glaukos Corp, Oscar Health, Immunovant, Kymera Therapeutics, NewAmsterdam Pharma, and Indivior PLC. Peer context can support comparative analysis. TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy... More

TransMedics Upside and Downside Indicators Signals

Upside and downside indicators for TransMedics summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the stock. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.

TransMedics Market Risk Indicators Signals

Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for TransMedics. This view provides neutral context for risk and variability.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that TransMedics' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
126.72129.61132.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
106.73109.62142.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.00132.89135.78
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
143.37157.55174.88
Details
Competitive analysis for TransMedics compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

TransMedics Technical Indicators

TransMedics Group Backtested Returns

Over the selected 3 months, TransMedics demonstrates a very low volatility profile. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of close to zero, defining negative risk-normalized returns. We identified twenty-four technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please analyze metrics such as Variance of 8.26, risk-adjusted performance of -0.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of -1,557 to assess dispersion and downside exposure. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.47, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, TransMedics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TransMedics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TransMedics Group has a negative expected return of -0.0234%. Please make sure to confirm TransMedics' the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if TransMedics Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation
    
  0.47  

Average predictability

TransMedics Group exhibits average predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between TransMedics time series from 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026 and from 23rd of January 2026 to 9th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of TransMedics Group may be projected. A serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current TransMedics price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance28.11
TransMedics technical stock analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical analysis evaluates whether price behavior reflects available information and market structure. The context is built from recurring price behavior and trend phases. More Info...

TransMedics Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of TransMedics Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

TransMedics Technical Analysis Overview

Technical analysis of TransMedics evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Volume and liquidity conditions influence signal reliability. Lower liquidity may increase execution variability. We review the company from a portfolio-construction standpoint emphasizing diversification and stability.

Methodology

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for TransMedics Group is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. TransMedics (USA Stocks:TMDX) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Technical and fundamental diagnostic scores are rule-based values computed from historical price and fundamental inputs.

Assumptions

Inputs rely on public filings and market reference sources and institutional disclosures from U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR and the U.S. Food & Drug Administration (FDA). Publication cadence can introduce timing differences. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.

Analyst Sources

TransMedics Group may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

TransMedics Technical Indicators

A technical review of TransMedics Group can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.

TransMedics March 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

A technical review of TransMedics Group can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.

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