Origin Agritech Stock Technical Analysis

SEED Stock  USD 1.08  -0.01  -0.92%   
Market data as of the 20th of March shows Origin Agritech priced at 1.08 per share. Measured indicators report Coefficient Of Variation of -1,639, risk adjusted performance of -0.04, and Variance of 24.35. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.

Origin Agritech Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Origin, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OriginOrigin Agritech's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.64
 Earnings Share
-1.03
 Revenue Per Share
12.187
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
-0.11
 Return On Assets
-0.29
Market capitalization and book value offer complementary views of Origin Agritech - the first driven by investor sentiment, the second by accounting standards. Origin Agritech's market capitalization is 13.22 M. The 4.86 P/B ratio shows Origin Agritech carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. Enterprise value stands at 14.71 M. Value and price for Origin Agritech are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single analytical context. The content reflects structured data inputs rather than subjective analysis.
The concept of value for Origin Agritech differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Origin Agritech, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 4.86, a profit margin of -58.42%, ROE of -3.72%, and revenue of 90.12 M. By contrast, Origin Agritech market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact. All values are presented as reference data.

What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on Origin Agritech gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Current market capitalization is about 13.22 Million, enterprise value is near 14.71 Million, and annual revenue is around 90.12 Million. The point is not to predict the future from one chart, but to understand how sensitive the trade has been to timing and holding assumptions.
0.00
12/20/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/20/2026
0.00
Allocating  0.00  to Origin Agritech on December 20, 2025 and holding to today would produce 0.00 in aggregate gains. The result is a 0.0% total return in Origin Agritech in total measured over 90 days. The competitive set for Origin Agritech includes Jewett Cameron, ZK International, Arcadia Biosciences, Foremost Lithium, Inno Holdings, Gulf Resources, and Algoma Steel. Comparative context is available through the listed peers. The competitive landscape is defined by sector overlap and operational similarity. The information is analytical in nature and is not intended as a specific recommendation. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platfo... More

Momentum Range Indicators for Origin Agritech Snapshot

The upside and downside context for Origin Agritech captures how the stock price has moved within recent ranges. These signals organize short-term price behavior into a structured momentum view. The information reflects available price and trading data.

Market Risk Indicators for Origin Agritech Dashboard

Origin Agritech market risk signals reflect the scope and pattern of historical return variability. Each indicator reflects observed variability across the available data window.
Mean reversion in Origin Agritech's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.095.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.975.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.045.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.931.131.34
Details
A rigorous investment case for Origin Agritech requires more than studying its own financials. Benchmarking Origin Agritech's performance, valuation, and risk profile against competitors is essential to validate any investment thesis.

Technical Indicators

Origin Agritech Backtested Returns

Origin Agritech currently shows an extremely high risk exposure across the evaluation window. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of -0.0305, signaling negative dispersion-adjusted returns across 3 months. Quantitative evaluation found twenty-one metrics shaping volatility behavior. Please assess metrics such as Coefficient Of Variation of -1,639, risk-adjusted performance of -0.04, and Variance of 24.35 to validate implied volatility levels. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which alludes to relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Returns on Origin Agritech tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. At this point, Origin Agritech has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to double-check Origin Agritech's day median price, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and total risk alpha, to decide if Origin Agritech's performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Auto-correlation
    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

The autocorrelation profile for Origin Agritech registers no correlation between past and present between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Origin Agritech's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Origin Agritech price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01
This technical analysis module for Origin Agritech is structured around price and volume data. This approach uses standard technical indicators across price data. It is based on recorded price and volume patterns over time.
The analysis looks at how Origin Agritech price movement develops over time. Trend signals and pattern behavior define this framework. This view uses observed price data from available market records. More Info...

Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Origin Agritech volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators

Technical analysis of Origin Agritech evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Support and resistance levels frame risk boundaries for observed price regimes. Origin Agritech has a market cap of 13.22 M, ROE of -3.72%.

This section for Origin Agritech is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 24th, 2026

Origin Agritech Technical Indicators

A technical review of Origin Agritech can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.

March 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

A technical review of Origin Agritech can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.

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