T Rowe Price Fund Technical Analysis
| PRAFX Fund | USD 19.30 -0.35 -1.78% |
Market data as of the 14th of March 2026 shows T ROWE priced at 19.30 per share. Measured indicators report Downside Deviation of 1.81, risk adjusted performance of 0.1194, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.234. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.
T ROWE Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as PRAFX, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PRAFXPRAFX |
What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on T Rowe Price gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether T ROWE's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/14/2025 |
| 03/14/2026 |
If you invested 0.00 in T ROWE on December 14, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in cumulative gains. Overall, this is a 0.0% return on investment in T ROWE in aggregate over 90 days. T ROWE is related to or competes with VICTORY SYCAMORE, VICTORY SYCAMORE, VICTORY SYCAMORE, Mfs Research, T ROWE, SCHWAB INTERNATIONAL, and HARTFORD CORE. The comparison helps frame competitive context. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in real assets and securities of companies that derive at least 5... More
T ROWE Upside and Downside Indicators Summary
Upside and downside indicators for T ROWE summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the fund. This view helps summarize momentum conditions without implying direction.
| Downside Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1738 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.10 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.54 |
T ROWE Market Risk Indicators Summary
Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for T ROWE. The measures summarize variability without implying direction.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2047 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2404 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.224 |
Mean reversion in T ROWE's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.234 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.879 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 686.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1738 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2047 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2404 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.224 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.10 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.80 | |||
| Skewness | -1.15 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
T Rowe Price Backtested Returns
T ROWE currently shows a very low volatility profile across the evaluation window. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of 0.13, signaling dispersion-adjusted returns across 3 months. Quantitative evaluation found twenty-six metrics shaping volatility behavior. Please assess metrics such as market risk-adjusted performance of 0.234, downside deviation of 1.81, and risk-adjusted performance of 0.1194 to validate implied volatility levels. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.76, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on T ROWE tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
T Rowe Price exhibits below average predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between T ROWE time series from 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026 and from 28th of January 2026 to 14th of March 2026. Persistent correlation between intervals suggests underlying momentum patterns in T ROWE that may carry forward. The measured coefficient of 0.38 means just about 38.0% of T ROWE's recent price variance traces back to prior period behavior.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.27 |
T ROWE technical mutual fund analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The view references moving averages, RSI, regressions, and chart pattern signals.
Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of T Rowe Price volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of T ROWE focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Support and resistance levels frame risk boundaries for observed price regimes.
This section for T Rowe Price is built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardT ROWE Technical Indicators
A technical review of T Rowe Price can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.234 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.879 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 686.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1738 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2047 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2404 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.224 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.10 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.80 | |||
| Skewness | -1.15 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
T Rowe Price One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, T Rowe Price has an One Year Return of 39.4566%. This is much higher than that of the T. Rowe Price family and significantly higher than that of the World Large-Stock Value category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the fund.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.March 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of T Rowe Price can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 19.30 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 19.30 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.17 |