T Rowe Price Fund Technical Analysis
| PAVLX Fund | USD 49.40 -0.19 -0.38% |
As of the 12th of March 2026, T ROWE is valued at 49.40 per share. Indicator levels currently stand at Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1273, downside deviation of 0.7401, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1591. Historical price dispersion and volume trends are incorporated into the evaluation. Values are analyzed in relation to historical volatility thresholds.
T ROWE Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as PAVLX, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PAVLXPAVLX |
T ROWE 'What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on T Rowe Price gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether T ROWE's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/12/2025 |
| 03/12/2026 |
An initial 0.00 allocation to T ROWE on December 12, 2025 held through today would generate 0.00 in cumulative gains. Overall, this is a 0.0% total return in T ROWE in aggregate over 90 days. T ROWE is often compared with AMERICAN FUNDS, AMERICAN FUNDS, American Funds, American Funds, T ROWE, Parnassus Equity, and HARBOR CAPITAL based on sector and business overlap. The comparison helps frame competitive context. At least 65 percent of the funds total assets are normally be invested in common stocks that the portfolio manager regar... More
T ROWE Momentum Range Indicators Summary
This section highlights upside and downside signals that contextualize T ROWE price behavior. This view helps summarize momentum conditions without implying direction.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7401 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1749 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.28 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.26 |
T ROWE Volatility and Risk Indicators Summary
This section presents risk metrics that describe T ROWE's historical price variability. The measures summarize variability without implying direction.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1273 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1547 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2115 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1491 |
The mean reversion effect in T ROWE is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of T ROWE's price dislocation is essential before acting.
T ROWE Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1273 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1591 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.5985 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5086 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.7401 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 614.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Variance | 0.8005 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1749 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1547 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2115 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1491 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.28 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5478 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2587 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.65 | |||
| Skewness | 1.8 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.93 |
T Rowe Price Backtested Returns
T ROWE demonstrates a very low volatility profile under current market conditions. It shows a risk-adjusted return measure of 0.13, signaling dispersion-adjusted returns across 3 months. Quantitative evaluation found twenty-seven metrics shaping volatility behavior. Please assess metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of 0.1273, downside deviation of 0.7401, and market risk-adjusted performance of 0.1591 to confirm statistical stability. The fund maintains a market beta of 0.91, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. T ROWE returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, T ROWE is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.66 |
Good predictability
T Rowe Price exhibits good predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between T ROWE time series from 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026 and from 26th of January 2026 to 12th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of T Rowe Price may be projected. A serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current T ROWE price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.62 |
Technical analysis for T ROWE examines price and volume behavior across market regimes. The view references moving averages, RSI, regressions, and chart pattern signals.
T Rowe Price Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of T Rowe Price volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About T ROWE Technical Analysis
Technical analysis of T ROWE focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Range expansion increases sensitivity to execution and spread conditions. 
Gabriel Shpitalnik · Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for T Rowe Price is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.
PAVLX Mutual Fund is Curated By:
Gabriel Shpitalnik · Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardT ROWE Technical Indicators
A technical review of T Rowe Price can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1273 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1591 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.5985 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5086 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.7401 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 614.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8947 | |||
| Variance | 0.8005 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1749 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1547 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2115 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1491 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | -1.28 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5478 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2587 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.65 | |||
| Skewness | 1.8 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.93 |
T Rowe Price One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, T Rowe Price has an One Year Return of 18.0621%. This is much higher than that of the T. Rowe Price family and 283.48% higher than that of the Large Value category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the fund.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.T ROWE March 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of T Rowe Price can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 49.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 49.40 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.10 |