Northern Small Cap Fund Technical Analysis

NOSGX Fund  USD 10.48  -0.05  -0.47%   
Market data as of the 11th of March 2026 shows Northern Small priced at 10.48 per share. Measured indicators report Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0506, mean deviation of 0.7655, and Downside Deviation of 1.04. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.

Northern Small Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Northern, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Northern
  
Northern Small's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Note that Northern Small's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Northern Small, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 17.44, and a P/B ratio of 1.52. Market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.

Northern Small 'What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on Northern Small Cap gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether Northern Small's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
0.00
12/11/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/11/2026
0.00
If you invested  0.00  in Northern Small on December 11, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in cumulative gains. Overall, this is a 0.0% return on investment in Northern Small in aggregate over 90 days.. Northern Small is related to or competes with Columbia Seligman, LSV SMALL, CONGRESS MID, GUIDEMARK(R) LARGE, Doubleline Yield, John Hancock, and RMB Mendon. The comparison helps frame competitive context. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small capitalization companies, which... More

Northern Small Upside and Downside Indicators Summary

Upside and downside indicators for Northern Small summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the fund. This view helps summarize momentum conditions without implying direction.

Northern Small Market Risk Indicators Summary

Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for Northern Small. The measures summarize variability without implying direction.
Mean reversion in Northern Small's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5110.5311.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5310.5511.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2810.2911.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5610.9511.35
Details
A rigorous investment case for Northern Small requires more than studying its own financials. Benchmarking Northern Small's performance, valuation, and risk profile against competitors is essential to validate any investment thesis.

Northern Small Technical Indicators

Northern Small Cap Backtested Returns

Northern Small currently shows a very low volatility profile across the evaluation window. It has a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0191, which indicates that 0.0191 units of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We identified twenty-seven technical indicators supporting this volatility profile. Please assess metrics such as mean deviation of 0.7655, risk-adjusted performance of 0.0506, and Downside Deviation of 1.04 to validate implied volatility levels. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which alludes to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Northern Small returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Northern Small is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation
    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Northern Small Cap exhibits poor reverse predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Northern Small time series from 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026 and from 25th of January 2026 to 11th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of Northern Small Cap may be projected. A serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Northern Small price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Northern Small Cap has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03
Northern Small technical mutual fund analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The view references moving averages, RSI, regressions, and chart pattern signals.
Technical analysis evaluates whether price behavior reflects available information and market structure. This framework highlights recurring patterns and trend context. More Info...

Northern Small Cap Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Northern Small Cap volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Northern Small Technical Analysis

Technical analysis of Northern Small focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Support and resistance levels frame risk boundaries for observed price regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Northern Small Cap is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Northern Small Technical Indicators

A technical review of Northern Small Cap can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.

Northern Small March 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

A technical review of Northern Small Cap can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.