Intact Financ 1 Preferred Stock Technical Analysis

IFC-PA Preferred Stock  CAD 22.44  0.14  0.63%   
As of the 11th of March 2026, the last recorded price for Intact Financ is 22.44 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect Market Risk Adjusted Performance of -18.22, risk adjusted performance of 0.1471, and Downside Deviation of 0.5298. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.

Intact Financ Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Intact, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Intact
  
Intact Financ's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Note that Intact Financ's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Intact Financ, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 2.35, a profit margin of 11.4%, ROE of 14.91%, and revenue of 21.15 B. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.

Intact Financ 'What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on Intact Financ 1 gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether Intact Financ's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
0.00
12/11/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/11/2026
0.00
If you invested  0.00  in Intact Financ on December 11, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in aggregate gains. The change equals a 0.0% return on investment in Intact Financ on balance over a 90 day window. Intact Financ is related to or competes with Brookfield Business, EQB, Bitfarms, Sprott, E L, Goeasy, and Trisura. Peer context can support comparative analysis. Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals... More

Intact Financ Upside and Downside Indicators Signals

Upside and downside indicators for Intact Financ summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the stock. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.

Intact Financ Market Risk Indicators Signals

Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for Intact Financ. This view provides neutral context for risk and variability.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Intact Financ's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9522.4422.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1921.6824.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8422.3322.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9722.1622.34
Details
Competitive analysis for Intact Financ compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Intact Financ Technical Indicators

Intact Financ 1 Backtested Returns

Over the selected 3 months, Intact Financ demonstrates a very low volatility profile. It records an Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.2, indicating risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Volatility modeling revealed twenty-nine technical measures impacting risk exposure. Please analyze metrics such as market risk-adjusted performance of -18.22, risk-adjusted performance of 0.1471, and Downside Deviation of 0.5298 to assess dispersion and downside exposure. Intact Financ has a performance score of 15 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0048, which conveys relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on Intact Financ tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Intact Financ is likely to outperform the market. Intact Financ 1 right now owns a risk of 0.49%. Please confirm Intact Financ 1 the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall.
Auto-correlation
    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Intact Financ 1 exhibits good predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Intact Financ time series from 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026 and from 25th of January 2026 to 11th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of Intact Financ 1 may be projected. A serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Intact Financ price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03
Intact Financ technical preferred stock analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical analysis evaluates whether price behavior reflects available information and market structure. The context is built from recurring price behavior and trend phases. More Info...

Intact Financ 1 Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Intact Financ 1 volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.