First Trust Materials ETF Technical Analysis
| FXZ ETF | USD 74.05 0.45 0.61% |
As of the 27th of March, First Trust trades at 74.05 per share. Key technical indicators include Downside Deviation of 1.82, mean deviation of 1.25, and Coefficient Of Variation of 783.38. The technical model evaluates historical price movement, trading volume, and volatility patterns to quantify trend strength. Current values are evaluated relative to sector peers and historical ranges.
First Trust Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Trust's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help identify potential trend changes using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.The gap between First Trust's market price and NAV reflects supply-demand dynamics in the secondary market. The relationship between First Trust's cost structure, holdings, and tracking accuracy shapes the overall assessment.
Price and NAV for First Trust are related but not identical, and they can diverge during volatile periods. The actual First Trust transaction price is determined by real-time order flow on the exchange.
What-If Analysis
Historical what-if analysis for First Trust Materials is useful because it converts abstract timing questions into a structured review of past performance under changing entry and holding periods. Used properly, this review provides context for deciding whether First Trust's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/27/2025 |
| 03/27/2026 |
A 0.00 entry into First Trust on December 27, 2025 held to the present would record 0.00 in cumulative gains. This amounts to a 0.0% total return in First Trust overall across a 90 day span. The dataset is based on available price and volume observations. Peers such as First Trust, First Trust, First Trust, Invesco Exchange, First Trust, Xtrackers MSCI, and First Trust operate in a similar space as First Trust. The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks that comprise the index More
Momentum Range Indicators for First Trust Overview
The momentum profile for First Trust describes how price movement distributes across upside and downside channels. All values are computed from publicly available trading activity and price records.
| Downside Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1691 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators Snapshot
The risk context for First Trust is expressed through volatility and drawdown-related metrics. All values are presented as reference data.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1107 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2853 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3437 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.166 |
Experienced market participants anticipate that First Trust's price will even out over time. Periods when First Trust's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1107 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.176 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 783.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1691 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2853 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3437 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.166 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.22 | |||
| Skewness | -0.40 | |||
| Kurtosis | -0.21 |
First Trust Materials Backtested Returns
First Trust appears to exhibit a very low volatility profile over the selected 3 months investment horizon. It maintains a Sharpe Ratio of 0.12, illustrating dispersion-adjusted performance. We identified thirty technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please review metrics such as Downside Deviation of 1.82, mean deviation of 1.25, and Coefficient Of Variation of 783.38 to confirm whether our risk estimates align with your expectations. The ETF has a Beta of 1.18, which signifies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the ETF is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | -0.67 |
Very good reverse predictability
Comparing First Trust's price behavior from 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026 with the period from 10th of February 2026 to 27th of March 2026 produces very good reverse predictability. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of First Trust Materials may be projected. The coefficient of -0.67 links around 67.0% of First Trust's present price action to its own historical movements. Given that First Trust Materials has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.08 |
First Trust technical etf analysis focuses on price and volume behavior. The information reflects available market data inputs.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Trust Materials volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of First Trust evaluates traded price structure, volume, and spread stability relative to NAV behavior. Trend persistence provides context for directional stability. Market sensitivity appears generally aligned with broader economic conditions.
Inputs for First Trust Materials come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardFirst Trust Technical Indicators
A technical review of First Trust Materials can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. Used correctly, technical indicators support timing and risk control but should still be validated against broader market and business context.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1107 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.176 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 783.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1691 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2853 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3437 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.166 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.22 | |||
| Skewness | -0.40 | |||
| Kurtosis | -0.21 |
First Trust Materials One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, First Trust Materials has an One Year Return of 33.9%. Relative to the First Trust family, this is 271.71% above, while the Natural Resources category average sits notably below. Across all United States etfs, the average one year return is notably below First Trust's level.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.March 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of First Trust Materials can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. Used correctly, technical indicators support timing and risk control but should still be validated against broader market and business context.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 73.82 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 73.90 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.45 |
More Resources for First ETF Analysis
A broader look at First Trust Materials comes from its fund reports and historical performance data. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for First Trust Materials ETF:Portfolio design and allocation context appear in Investing Opportunities. Portfolio balance depends on how holdings are weighted relative to each other. First Trust Materials can be evaluated within a portfolio framework for weight and risk impact. This view summarizes available data without implying outcomes. Broader economic conditions can influence First Trust Materials's ETF valuation — related indicators include signals in services. First Trust information on this page supports broader portfolio research rather than acting as a stand-alone signal. First Trust analysis across multiple dimensions - risk, cost, holdings overlap - produces a more informed allocation decision. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
The gap between First Trust's market price and NAV reflects supply-demand dynamics in the secondary market. The relationship between First Trust's cost structure, holdings, and tracking accuracy shapes the overall assessment.
Price and NAV for First Trust are related but not identical, and they can diverge during volatile periods. The actual First Trust transaction price is determined by real-time order flow on the exchange.