First National Bank Stock Technical Analysis
| FBAK Stock | USD 307.03 0.21 0.07% |
As of the 3rd of February, First National shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 697.57, downside deviation of 1.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.03. First National Bank technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for First National Bank, which can be compared to its peers.
First National Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First National 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First National's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First National.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First National on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First National Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in First National over 90 days. First National is related to or competes with WTB Financial, SpareBank, Farmers, Hachijuni Bank, Southern BancShares, Farmers Merchants, and Hills Bancorporation. First National Bank Alaska, a commercial bank, provides various banking products and services for business, industry, an... More
First National Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First National's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First National Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1093 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.74 |
First National Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First National historical prices to predict the future First National's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1106 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2078 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1225 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1383 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6117 |
First National February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1106 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6217 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 697.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2078 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1225 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1383 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6117 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) | |||
| Skewness | 1.69 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.49 |
First National Bank Backtested Returns
First National appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First National Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for First National Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First National's Downside Deviation of 1.29, mean deviation of 1.03, and Coefficient Of Variation of 697.57 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First National holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.37, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First National is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First National's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First National's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
First National Bank has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First National time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First National Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current First National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.68 |
First National technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First National Bank Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First National Bank across different markets.
About First National Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First National Bank on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First National Bank based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on First National Bank price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First National Bank. By analyzing First National's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First National's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First National specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First National February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1106 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6217 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 697.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2078 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1225 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1383 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6117 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) | |||
| Skewness | 1.69 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.49 |
First National February 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.19 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 307.45 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 307.31 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.53) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 |
Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock
First National financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First National security.