Expedia Group Stock Technical Analysis
| EXPE Stock | USD 241.34 -8.28 -3.32% |
As of the 9th of March, Expedia registers 241.34 per share in market pricing. Volatility and momentum metrics display Downside Deviation of 3.71, coefficient of variation of 23496.73, and Mean Deviation of 2.44. Quantitative signals are calculated from volatility clustering and momentum shifts. Relative strength metrics are assessed within peer group data.
Expedia Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Expedia, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ExpediaExpedia's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Expedia Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 280.85 | Buy | 37 | Odds |
Analyst recommendations for Expedia Group are summarized across multiple research providers. Average analyst consensus is included for context. Changes in analyst price targets for Expedia can be as informative as the ratings themselves. A maintained buy rating with a target cut for Expedia Group often signals deteriorating near-term expectations despite continued long-term optimism.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.27 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 9.81 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.114 |
Understanding Expedia Group includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Expedia accounting equity. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Market price responds to sentiment, liquidity, and macro shifts, so gaps can appear. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
The concept of value for Expedia differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. Context can include financial performance, operating efficiency, market trends, and peer comparisons. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.
Expedia 'What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Expedia Group gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether Expedia's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/09/2025 |
| 03/09/2026 |
Starting with 0.00 in Expedia on December 9, 2025 and exiting today would produce 0.00 in aggregate gains. The change equals a 0.0% net return in Expedia on balance over a 90 day window.. Expedia has comparable peers such as Viking Holdings, Williams Sonoma, Tractor Supply, Ulta Beauty, InterContinental, PulteGroup, and Restaurant Brands. Peer context can support comparative analysis. Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally More
Upside and Downside Indicators for Expedia Signals
These indicators describe how Expedia momentum evolves across recent price ranges. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.
| Downside Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | -5.76 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.9 |
Market Risk Indicators for Expedia Signals
Risk measures here provide context on Expedia's return distribution and drawdown behavior. This view provides neutral context for risk and variability.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0112 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.006 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0069 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0042 |
The mean reversion framework for Expedia's is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
Expedia Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0112 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0142 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 23496.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Variance | 13.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.006 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0069 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0042 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | -5.76 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.70 | |||
| Skewness | -0.38 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.06 |
Expedia Group Backtested Returns
Expedia reflects a very low volatility profile across the analytical window. It has a Sharpe Ratio of -0.0138, which indicates that -0.0138 units of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We identified twenty-nine technical indicators supporting this volatility profile. Please analyze metrics such as Coefficient Of Variation of 23496.73, mean deviation of 2.44, and Downside Deviation of 3.71 to evaluate coherence across risk measures. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.36, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Expedia will likely underperform. At this point, Expedia Group has a negative expected return of -0.0529%. Please make sure to confirm Expedia's the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Expedia Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.67 |
Very good reverse predictability
Expedia Group exhibits very good reverse predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Expedia time series from 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026 and from 23rd of January 2026 to 9th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of Expedia Group may be projected. A serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Expedia price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Expedia Group has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 645.43 |
This technical analysis view for Expedia focuses on price, volume, and trend behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Expedia Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Expedia Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Expedia Group Price Indicators and Signals
Technical analysis of Expedia evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Lower liquidity may increase execution variability. This analysis reviews how Expedia integrates into a multi-asset portfolio across market cycles.
Methodology
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Expedia Group is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Expedia (USA Stocks:EXPE) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Technical and fundamental diagnostic scores are rule-based values computed from historical price and fundamental inputs.
Assumptions
We primarily rely on public filings and market reference sources, including disclosures published by U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR. Data is normalized for analytical consistency across reporting formats. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.Analyst Sources
Expedia Group is covered by 38 analysts. 19 analysts have submitted revenue and/or earnings estimates that may be incorporated into Macroaxis consensus inputs where available. Representative analyst firms may include J.P. Morgan, Stifel, BMO Capital Markets, Oppenheimer & Co., Citigroup, RBC Capital Markets, Wells Fargo Securities, Evercore ISI, among others. Updates may occur throughout the day.
Expedia Technical Indicators
A technical review of Expedia Group can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0112 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0142 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 23496.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Variance | 13.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.006 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0069 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0016 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0042 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | -5.76 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.70 | |||
| Skewness | -0.38 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.06 |
Expedia March 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of Expedia Group can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 197,440 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.52 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 237.81 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 238.98 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.61 |
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