Mission Produce Stock Technical Analysis
| AVO Stock | USD 12.16 0.34 2.88% |
As of the 18th of March 2026, Mission Produce reports 12.16 per share in the latest quote. Technical drivers report Downside Deviation of 3.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.0111, and Mean Deviation of 1.47. Price momentum and volatility relationships form the basis of the analysis. Cross-sectional analysis places indicator values in market context.
Mission Produce Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mission, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MissionMission Produce's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 16.67 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Current and historical analyst recommendations for Mission Produce are summarized from research sources. Consensus averages are included alongside the recommendation view. Following analyst revisions on Mission over time reveals trends in institutional sentiment. A string of consecutive target increases for Mission Produce often correlates with improving business fundamentals and rising earnings momentum.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.04 | Earnings Share 0.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.17 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Mission Produce is measured differently than book value, which reflects Mission accounting equity. Mission Produce's market capitalization is 837.4 M. A P/B ratio of 1.43 indicates the market values Mission Produce above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 992.4 M. Value and price for Mission Produce are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
The concept of value for Mission Produce differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Mission Produce, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 26.08, a P/B ratio of 1.43, a profit margin of 2.48%, and ROE of 5.69%. Mission Produce's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
What if' Analysis
Backtesting a what-if scenario on Mission Produce helps investors see how the stock may have behaved if the position had been entered, held, or resized under different historical assumptions. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether Mission Produce's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/18/2025 |
| 03/18/2026 |
Starting with 0.00 in Mission Produce on December 18, 2025 and exiting today would earn 0.00 in net gains. The change equals a 0.0% return on investment in Mission Produce for the period over a 90 day window. Mission Produce has comparable peers such as Herbalife Nutrition, Natural Grocers, Edgewell Personal, Seneca Foods, John B, Udemy, and Calavo Growers. Peer context helps frame relative positioning. Mission Produce, Inc. engages in sourcing, producing, packaging, and distributing avocados in the United States and inte... More
Momentum Range Indicators for Mission Produce Signals
Upside/downside measures for Mission Produce frame directional pressure and range behavior. They provide a structured view of short-term momentum and range behavior.
| Downside Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0196 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.23 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 |
Volatility and Risk Indicators for Mission Produce Overview
This section presents risk metrics that describe Mission Produce's historical price variability. The measures summarize variability without implying direction.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0111 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0163 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.119 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0146 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0095 |
Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time Mission Produce's investments: buying when it trades materially below its historical average valuation multiples and selling when it reaches premium territory.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0111 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0195 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 17135.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0196 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0163 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.119 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0146 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0095 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.23 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.32 | |||
| Skewness | -1.93 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.67 |
Mission Produce Backtested Returns
Mission Produce suggests a low volatility profile over the observed timeframe. It has a Sharpe Ratio of -0.0438, evidencing negative risk-calibrated returns. We identified twenty-nine technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please assess metrics such as Downside Deviation of 3.01, risk-adjusted performance of 0.0111, and mean deviation of 1.47 to evaluate statistical risk alignment. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.32, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. With a sub-1 beta, Mission Produce participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while also limiting downside exposure. At this point, Mission Produce has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Mission Produce's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change, to decide if Mission Produce's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | -0.54 |
Good reverse predictability
Mission Produce exhibits good reverse predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Mission Produce time series from 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026 and from 1st of February 2026 to 18th of March 2026. Persistent correlation between intervals suggests underlying momentum patterns in Mission Produce that may carry forward. The measured coefficient of -0.54 means about 54.0% of Mission Produce's recent price variance traces back to prior period behavior. Given that Mission Produce has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.11 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.42 |
Mission Produce technical stock analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Mission Produce volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Mission Produce evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Signal reliability can vary across market regimes and liquidity conditions. Mission Produce has a market cap of 837.4 M, P/E of 26.08, ROE of 5.69%.
For Mission Produce, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Intraday timing differences may exist.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardMission Produce Technical Indicators
Investors following Mission Produce often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. Used correctly, technical indicators support timing and risk control but should still be validated against broader market and business context.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0111 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0195 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 17135.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0196 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0163 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.119 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0146 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0095 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.23 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.32 | |||
| Skewness | -1.93 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.67 |
March 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Investors following Mission Produce often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. Used correctly, technical indicators support timing and risk control but should still be validated against broader market and business context.
| Accumulation Distribution | 52,021 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.60 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 12.05 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 12.08 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.29 |