Apollo Commercial Real Stock Technical Analysis
| ARI Stock | USD 10.80 0.08 0.75% |
As of the 7th of February, Apollo Commercial shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.133, mean deviation of 0.9422, and Downside Deviation of 1.17. Apollo Commercial Real technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Apollo Commercial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Apollo, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ApolloApollo Commercial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Apollo Commercial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 11.45 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most Apollo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Apollo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Apollo Commercial Real, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Apollo conference calls.
Is there potential for Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) market expansion? Will Apollo introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Commercial. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Apollo Commercial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Understanding Apollo Commercial Real requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Apollo's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Apollo Commercial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Apollo Commercial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Apollo Commercial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Apollo Commercial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Apollo Commercial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Apollo Commercial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Apollo Commercial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Apollo Commercial.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Apollo Commercial on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Apollo Commercial Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Apollo Commercial over 90 days. Apollo Commercial is related to or competes with Ladder Capital, KKR Real, Ellington Financial, TPG RE, Innovative Industrial, ARMOUR Residential, and Chimera Investment. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc More
Apollo Commercial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Apollo Commercial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Apollo Commercial Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0911 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.07 |
Apollo Commercial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Apollo Commercial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Apollo Commercial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Apollo Commercial historical prices to predict the future Apollo Commercial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.133 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0696 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1008 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 |
Apollo Commercial February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.133 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4221 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9422 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8224 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 623.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0911 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0696 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1008 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6763 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) | |||
| Skewness | 0.989 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.3 |
Apollo Commercial Real Backtested Returns
Apollo Commercial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Apollo Commercial Real secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Apollo Commercial Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Apollo Commercial's Mean Deviation of 0.9422, risk adjusted performance of 0.133, and Downside Deviation of 1.17 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Apollo Commercial holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Apollo Commercial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Apollo Commercial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Apollo Commercial's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Apollo Commercial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.52 |
Modest predictability
Apollo Commercial Real has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Apollo Commercial time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Apollo Commercial Real price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Apollo Commercial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.52 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.61 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.18 |
Apollo Commercial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Apollo Commercial Real Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Apollo Commercial Real volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Apollo Commercial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Apollo Commercial Real on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apollo Commercial Real based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Apollo Commercial Real price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Apollo Commercial Real. By analyzing Apollo Commercial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Apollo Commercial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Apollo Commercial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.096 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.72 | 1.88 |
Apollo Commercial February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Apollo help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apollo from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Apollo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.133 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4221 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9422 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8224 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 623.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0911 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1593 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0696 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1008 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6763 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) | |||
| Skewness | 0.989 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.3 |
Apollo Commercial February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Apollo stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10,422 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.73 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 10.79 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 10.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 |
Complementary Tools for Apollo Stock analysis
When running Apollo Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Apollo Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apollo Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Apollo Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apollo Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apollo Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apollo Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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