Mfa Financial Stock Analysis

MFA Stock  USD 9.03  0.11  1.20%   
MFA Financial is fairly valued with Real Value of 9.21 and Target Price of 14.42. The main objective of MFA Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what MFA Financial is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of MFA Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The MFA Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and MFA Financial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MFA Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For information on how to trade MFA Stock refer to our How to Trade MFA Stock guide.

MFA Stock Analysis Notes

About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.52. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MFA Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. The firm had 1:4 split on the 5th of April 2022. MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York. MFA Financial operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 298 people. To find out more about MFA Financial contact Craig Knutson at 212 207 6400 or learn more at https://www.mfafinancial.com.

MFA Financial Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. MFA Financial's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding MFA Financial or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
MFA Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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MFA Financial Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to MFA Financial previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

MFA Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact MFA Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-08-06
2025-06-300.290.24-0.0517 
2024-05-06
2024-03-310.40.35-0.0512 
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.350.40.0514 
View All Earnings Estimates

MFA Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

MFA Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates MFA Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of MFA Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect MFA Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

MFA Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wolverine Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
961 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
946.4 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2025-06-30
846.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
784.9 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2025-06-30
778.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
706.5 K
Lsv Asset Management2025-06-30
608.1 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
581.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
554.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
10.2 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
9.2 M
Note, although MFA Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MFA Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 927.1 M.

MFA Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.45 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.46 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.46 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.07 

Management Efficiency

MFA Financial has Return on Asset of 0.0113 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0113 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0693 %, implying that it generated $0.0693 on every 100 dollars invested. MFA Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well MFA Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, MFA Financial's Return On Tangible Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.01, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to 0.01. At present, MFA Financial's Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 2.3 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 9.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.80  32.96 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.16  31.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.64  10.27 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.57  1.03 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.64  10.27 
Price Fair Value 0.57  1.03 
Enterprise Value7.5 B6.7 B
The strategic decisions made by MFA Financial management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.1554
Operating Margin
0.4633
Profit Margin
0.4515
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1595
Beta
1.756

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of October 2025, MFA Financial owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0202, downside deviation of 1.23, and Mean Deviation of 0.9994. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check possible technical drivers of MFA Financial, as well as the relationship between them.

MFA Financial Price Movement Analysis

Study
The minimum time period for execution of this function requires larger time horizon. Please increase the time horizon for this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Instantaneous Trendline is a moving-average-like indicator which is formed by removing the Dominant Cycle from MFA Financial price series.

MFA Financial Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific MFA Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on MFA Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases MFA Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

MFA Financial Outstanding Bonds

MFA Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. MFA Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most MFA bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when MFA Financial has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

MFA Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

MFA Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of MFA Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

MFA Financial Corporate Filings

F4
16th of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
15th of August 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
ASR
14th of August 2025
Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
8K
6th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
22nd of July 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
5th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
30th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
12th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

MFA Financial Forecast Models

MFA Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many MFA Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary MFA Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About MFA Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how MFA Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling MFA shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as MFA Financial. By using and applying MFA Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying MFA entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.47  0.75 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.47  0.76 
Gross Profit Margin 0.98  0.86 

Current MFA Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. MFA analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. MFA analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
14.42Buy7Odds
MFA Financial current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most MFA analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MFA stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MFA Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MFA conference calls.
MFA Analyst Advice Details

MFA Stock Analysis Indicators

MFA Financial stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how MFA Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading MFA Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying MFA Financial stock analysis, traders can identify MFA Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow488.2 M
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding105.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-424.6 M
Tax Provision443 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.344
Property Plant And Equipment Net35.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments338.9 M
Cash338.9 M
Accounts Payable33 M
Net Debt5.7 B
50 Day M A9.6818
Total Current Liabilities132.2 M
Other Operating Expenses252.9 M
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B
Forward Price Earnings6.4392
Non Currrent Assets Other-1.7 B

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When running MFA Financial's price analysis, check to measure MFA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MFA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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