Grocery Outlet Holding Stock Analysis

GO Stock  USD 14.34  0.28  1.92%   
Grocery Outlet Holding is fairly valued with Real Value of 14.91 and Target Price of 17.15. The main objective of Grocery Outlet stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Grocery Outlet Holding is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Grocery Outlet's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Grocery Outlet stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Grocery Outlet is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Grocery Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grocery Outlet Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Grocery Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grocery Outlet Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California. Grocery Outlet operates under Grocery Stores classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 803 people. To learn more about Grocery Outlet Holding call Robert Sheedy at 510 845 1999 or check out https://www.groceryoutlet.com.

Grocery Outlet Quarterly Total Revenue

1.18 Billion

Grocery Outlet Holding Investment Alerts

Grocery Outlet had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Grocery Outlet has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Betterware de Mexico SAPI de C Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates

Grocery Outlet Holding Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Grocery Outlet to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Grocery Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Grocery Outlet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-02-25
2024-12-310.16720.15-0.017210 
2024-02-27
2023-12-310.160.180.0212 
2022-05-10
2022-03-310.20.220.0210 
View All Earnings Estimates

Grocery Outlet Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Grocery Outlet's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Grocery Outlet's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Grocery Outlet's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Grocery Outlet's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Grocery Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
3.1 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2025-06-30
2.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
2.4 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
1.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
1.7 M
Irenic Capital Management Lp2025-06-30
1.6 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
1.3 M
Whitebark Investors2025-06-30
1.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
1.2 M
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
14.7 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
14.4 M
Note, although Grocery Outlet's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Grocery Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 1.41 B.

Grocery Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.05 

Management Efficiency

Grocery Outlet Holding has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0218 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0218. This is way below average. Grocery Outlet's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Grocery Outlet manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Grocery Outlet's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of October 2025, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.05, while Return On Assets are likely to drop 0.02. At this time, Grocery Outlet's Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of October 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.04, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 2.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.47  7.58 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 3.08  3.24 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 23.89  26.25 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.55  3.87 
Enterprise Value Multiple 23.89  26.25 
Price Fair Value 2.55  3.87 
The management team at Grocery Outlet has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
0.0203
Profit Margin
0.0018
Beta
0.295
Return On Assets
0.0218
Return On Equity
0.0068

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of October, Grocery Outlet retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4306, downside deviation of 2.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0345. Grocery Outlet technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Grocery Outlet Holding Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Moving Average is predictive technique used to analyze Grocery Outlet Holding price data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of Grocery Outlet entire price series.

Grocery Outlet Holding Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Grocery Outlet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Grocery Outlet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Grocery Outlet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Grocery Outlet Outstanding Bonds

Grocery Outlet issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Grocery Outlet Holding uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Grocery bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Grocery Outlet Holding has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Grocery Outlet Predictive Daily Indicators

Grocery Outlet intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Grocery Outlet stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Grocery Outlet Corporate Filings

7th of October 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
17th of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
15th of September 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
26th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
19th of August 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
14th of August 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
11th of August 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
6th of August 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Grocery Outlet Forecast Models

Grocery Outlet's time-series forecasting models are one of many Grocery Outlet's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Grocery Outlet's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Grocery Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Grocery Outlet prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Grocery shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Grocery Outlet. By using and applying Grocery Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Grocery entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 
Operating Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.25 

Current Grocery Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Grocery analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Grocery analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
17.15Buy14Odds
Grocery Outlet Holding current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Grocery analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Grocery stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Grocery Outlet Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Grocery conference calls.
Grocery Analyst Advice Details

Grocery Stock Analysis Indicators

Grocery Outlet Holding stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Grocery Outlet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Grocery Outlet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Grocery Outlet stock analysis, traders can identify Grocery Outlet position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow115 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.2 B
Capital Lease Obligations1.2 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments62.8 M
Cash62.8 M
50 Day M A16.5429
Net Interest Income-22.2 M
Total Current Liabilities349.6 M
Forward Price Earnings17.5439
Stock Based Compensation10.5 M
Long Term Debt462.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-274 M
Tax Provision16.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.643
Accounts Payable175.9 M
Net Debt1.6 B
Other Operating Expenses4.3 B
Non Current Assets Total2.7 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity3.2 B
Non Currrent Assets Other6.9 M
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grocery Outlet Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grocery Outlet. If investors know Grocery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grocery Outlet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
46.109
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
Return On Assets
0.0218
The market value of Grocery Outlet Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grocery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grocery Outlet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grocery Outlet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grocery Outlet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grocery Outlet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grocery Outlet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grocery Outlet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grocery Outlet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.