Alarm Holdings Stock Analysis

ALRM Stock  USD 56.56  1.34  2.43%   
Alarm Holdings is fairly valued with Real Value of 57.21 and Target Price of 68.71. The main objective of Alarm Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alarm Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alarm Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alarm Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alarm Holdings is usually not traded on Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday. Alarm Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.

Alarm Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alarm Holdings was presently reported as 16.0. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. Alarm Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia. Alarm operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1606 people. For more info on Alarm Holdings please contact Stephen Trundle at 877 389 4033 or go to https://www.alarm.com.

Alarm Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

254.31 Million

Alarm Holdings Investment Alerts

Alarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Alarm.com Brings Pro-Grade Video Security to More Homes and Businesses with the New ADC-V516 Indoor Wi-Fi Camera

Alarm Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Alarm Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alarm Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-08-06
2015-06-300.040.050.0125 
2019-11-05
2019-09-300.330.370.0412 
2016-08-15
2016-06-300.110.150.0436 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alarm Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alarm Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alarm Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alarm Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alarm Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alarm Holdings Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alarm Holdings stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aggressive Defence Idea
Aggressive Defence
Small capitalization, high growth potential companies
Alternative Energy Idea
Alternative Energy
Companies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy
Tech Growth Idea
Tech Growth
Large and mid-sized technology companies, funds, and technology-based ETFs that are considered growing

Alarm Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
740.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-03-31
691.6 K
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
618.2 K
Norges Bank2025-06-30
591.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
549.4 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2025-06-30
526.2 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2025-06-30
503.3 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2025-06-30
467.6 K
Qube Research & Technologies2025-06-30
449.3 K
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
9.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
6.3 M
Note, although Alarm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alarm Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.76 B.

Alarm Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.13 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.13 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.13.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.17  0.10 

Management Efficiency

Alarm Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0399 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0399 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1674 %, meaning that it created $0.1674 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alarm Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alarm Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of September 2025, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.10, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.1. At this time, Alarm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of September 2025, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.54, while Intangible Assets are likely to drop about 61.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 15.54  16.31 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 11.16  11.72 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.54  13.81 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.15  7.79 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.54  13.81 
Price Fair Value 4.15  7.79 
Enterprise Value2.9 B1.6 B
The strategic initiatives led by Alarm Holdings' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.1263
Profit Margin
0.1327
Beta
1.073
Return On Assets
0.0399
Return On Equity
0.1674

Technical Drivers

As of the 12th of September 2025, Alarm Holdings shows the mean deviation of 1.22, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Alarm Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alarm Holdings risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and potential upside to decide if Alarm Holdings is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 56.56 per share. Given that Alarm Holdings has information ratio of (0.12), we suggest you to validate Alarm Holdings's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alarm Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Study
Start Value
Offset on Reverse
AF Init Long
AF Long
AF Max Long
AF Init Short
AF Short
AF Max Short
Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Extended Parabolic SAR indicator is used to determine the direction of Alarm Holdings's momentum and the point in time when it has higher than normal probability of directional change. It has more input parameters than standard Parabolic SAR indicator.

Alarm Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alarm Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alarm Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alarm Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Kevin Bradley over two months ago
Disposition of 754 shares by Kevin Bradley of Alarm Holdings at 56.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Clarke Donald E over three months ago
Acquisition by Clarke Donald E of 2304 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Harper Cecile Burleigh over three months ago
Acquisition by Harper Cecile Burleigh of 2510 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Ramos over three months ago
Disposition of 7000 shares by Daniel Ramos of Alarm Holdings at 57.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephen Trundle over three months ago
Acquisition by Stephen Trundle of 40000 shares of Alarm Holdings at 56.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Ramos over three months ago
Disposition of 1667 shares by Daniel Ramos of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Valenzuela over six months ago
Acquisition by Steve Valenzuela of 936 shares of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Valenzuela over six months ago
Disposition of 936 shares by Steve Valenzuela of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Steve Valenzuela over six months ago
Disposition of 1564 shares by Steve Valenzuela of Alarm Holdings at 37.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Ramos over six months ago
Acquisition by Daniel Ramos of 14000 shares of Alarm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Bedell over six months ago
Acquisition by Jeffrey Bedell of 17500 shares of Alarm Holdings at 67.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Kerzner over six months ago
Acquisition by Daniel Kerzner of 25000 shares of Alarm Holdings at 15.02 subject to Rule 16b-3

Alarm Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Alarm Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alarm Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alarm bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alarm Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alarm Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Alarm Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alarm Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alarm Holdings Corporate Filings

14th of August 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
7th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of July 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of June 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
6th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
27th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
16th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
15th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Alarm Holdings Forecast Models

Alarm Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Alarm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alarm Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alarm Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alarm Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alarm shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alarm Holdings. By using and applying Alarm Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alarm entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.15  0.12 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.65  0.49 

Current Alarm Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alarm analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alarm analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
68.71Buy9Odds
Alarm Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alarm analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alarm stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alarm Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alarm conference calls.
Alarm Analyst Advice Details

Alarm Stock Analysis Indicators

Alarm Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alarm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alarm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alarm Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Alarm Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow701.1 M
Long Term Debt983.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58 M
Total Stockholder Equity726.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-24.7 M
Tax Provision19.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.018
Property Plant And Equipment Net116.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
Cash1.2 B
Accounts Payable65.6 M
Net Debt-164 M
50 Day M A56.2088
Total Current Liabilities188.8 M
Other Operating Expenses831.3 M
Non Current Assets Total556.6 M
Forward Price Earnings26.2467
Non Currrent Assets OtherM
Stock Based Compensation41.2 M
When determining whether Alarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alarm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.018
Earnings Share
2.38
Revenue Per Share
19.691
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
Return On Assets
0.0399
The market value of Alarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.